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Originally Posted by
Prediction? Pain.
As for Napier, this year's ASU offense is a bit of mixed bag, but probably performed a little better than our 2017 offense in context. Higher S&P+ ranking (ASU's offense - 38, State's offense - 65), and better in-conference stats for scoring offense (ASU 4th, MSU 7th), 3rd Down Conversion rate (ASU 2nd, MSU 3rd), yards per play (ASU 7th, MSU 13th), and Red Zone TD% (ASU 2nd, MSU 8th). ASU's offensive line didn't play as well as ours (in either sacks allowed or TFLs allowed), though interestingly they dominated their conference in time of possession, just like MSU did.
It's not apples-to-apples, though. I'd like to see an analysis of the defenses that each team faced. I doubt ASU saw anything like the Georgia, Auburn, Alabama defensive gauntlet.
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