Quote Originally Posted by Commercecomet24 View Post
Bump. Any updates, SVD? Appreciate your info and love y'alls facebook page!
Sorry. Son was up sick all night so I'm in nurse mode today at home.

I'm going to admit this one is going to be tricky. SPC still maintains a slight risk for almost the entire state. Main threats look to be straight line winds and a couple tornadoes. What we know for sure is wind fields will be damn near perfect for tornadoes. The forecast hodographs I've seen have a perfect shape for rotating storms. The question still remains as to how much moisture and instability there will be to work with. This is a scenario where our drought conditions may help us out in lessening the severity. There is very little ground moisture to evaporate out to help contribute to atmospheric moisture. Everything is going to have to be supplied by the gulf. Now, it's more than capable of doing so, but always nice to not have to work as hard. If I were setting out a ground zero now for the area that could see the worst of whatever happens I would want to be east and maybe central to southern part of the state. The further east you are the more opportunity for daytime heating to lead to increased destabilization and the further south the more chance of better moisture return. However, the further south you are the further you're displaced away from the best storm dynamics that will be lifting away north and east. So anywhere east of I-55 and north of a Natchez to Laurel line and maybe south of a Grenada to Oxford line would be my best best. Not to say there can't or won't be severe weather outside that as there very likely may be. I just think if there is corridor of where the storms may max out in intensity it would be in that area.