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Originally Posted by
dawgday166
What kinda ground rules, assumptions, and initial values were you using. Those would have a lot to do with your results. I don't believe there is any authentic way the probability for 11 wins was greater than only 6 wins.
99%, 99%, 90%, 80%, 45%, 95%, 35%, 35%, 99%, 15%, 99%, 95%.
Gave 1.36% for 6 wins or lower; 6.25% for 11 wins or higher.
ETA: Yes I was a bit of a homer on them. Oh well. It was preseason and I bought the hype. Don’t argue with me on what they are now because believe they are different now. Tell me Shrader is starting UK and Tommy has a bum arm for half of KSU, Shrader plays the other half and my percentages go way down for us.
Last edited by dantheman4248; 09-23-2019 at 10:05 PM.
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