This is easy:

Winkel we get unless the TN offer is legit.
McDowell we get unless FL gives a legit offer.
Watson scares me a little. I'm thinking he's looking for anywhere else to go. If he takes a visit somewhere this weekend or if AU offers, he's gone IMO.
Smith is a toss up. I actually like our chances for some reason. I just think he's a better fit here and he knows it.
Lovett is gone. Been gone.
Williams could end up with a late offer.