USC plays A&M and Alabama...counting their game today with UK they could easily lose 4 or more and finish 20-10 or lower.

Florida is not likely to finish any higher than that with series against Vandy and LSU (they would need to win 5 out of 6 to end up with 20 wins, but they lost a game so percentages would come into play.)

A&M has UM and South Carolina so they could easily drop three of those.

One sweep and one series win for MSU (20-10) could very easily do it for us.


You could say two or three or slightly unlikely things need to line up; just looking at as objectively as possible I would put it at around a 20 per cent chance or higher to at least tie.