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Thread: Tuesday Severe Weather Potential

  1. #21
    Senior Member Hattdawg's Avatar
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    Are coastal counties going to be included in this threat area??

  2. #22
    Official Elitedawg Weather Forecaster TheRef's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hattdawg View Post
    Are coastal counties going to be included in this threat area??
    Yes. All coastal counties are included in the Moderate Risk area provided by SPC. Will they be included in watches tomorrow? More than likely given the model consensus.
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  3. #23
    Official Elitedawg Weather Forecaster TheRef's Avatar
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    To be honest, guys. I don't think we play tomorrow...at all
    B.S. Geosciences, Professional Meteorology Concentration, Operational Emphasis
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  4. #24
    Official Elitedawg Weather Forecaster TheRef's Avatar
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    And here's why I don't think we will play tomorrow: http://maroonandwhitenation.com/2016...ain-go-away-2/
    B.S. Geosciences, Professional Meteorology Concentration, Operational Emphasis
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  5. #25
    Tha Winnah! ScoobaDawg's Avatar
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  6. #26
    Senior Member starkvegasdawg's Avatar
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    ANYWHERE in that moderate risk area needs to be weather aware. This has a very real potential to be very bad this afternoon and early tonight.

  7. #27
    Senior Member Hattdawg's Avatar
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    I'm headed to Gulfport now and I live in Oak Grove, so yeah we are nervous. Schools letting out at 10:45.

  8. #28
    Senior Member starkvegasdawg's Avatar
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    I'm leaving to head down to that area around 10:00 this morning. Nothing has changed this morning to change my mind on the potential of this storm. Everything is coming together for a very bad day. Take ALL warnings for your area very seriously. Yes, some may have proven false in the past and some may be today - but a lot will be real and they will be for violent tornadoes. This is the kind of system where EF3 and EF-4 storms will be very likely. And yes, an EF-5 wouldn't shock me today. The shear today is just scary.

  9. #29
    Senior Member slickdawg's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg View Post
    I'm leaving to head down to that area around 10:00 this morning. Nothing has changed this morning to change my mind on the potential of this storm. Everything is coming together for a very bad day. Take ALL warnings for your area very seriously. Yes, some may have proven false in the past and some may be today - but a lot will be real and they will be for violent tornadoes. This is the kind of system where EF3 and EF-4 storms will be very likely. And yes, an EF-5 wouldn't shock me today. The shear today is just scary.
    This.

    Four ingredients you need for severe weather:

    Moisture
    Instability
    Lift
    Shear

    All four there, the shear is crazy for LA/MS/AL , be safe, heed warnings, have a plan now.

  10. #30
    Senior Member ghostofjackie's Avatar
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    No reason to be nervous

    Quote Originally Posted by Hattdawg View Post
    I'm headed to Gulfport now and I live in Oak Grove, so yeah we are nervous. Schools letting out at 10:45.
    Just make sure you stay weather aware and know where you are going to go in the event that a tornado comes near you. This isn't our first rodeo in South Mississippi and it won't be our last.

    The conditions today remind me of Christmas day a few years ago. And we had a violent F-4 move through Pearl River - Stone - Forrest - Perry. A weaker one also went through Mobile on that same day. Very favorable conditions south of I20 all the way to the coast. Be safe

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