No you're just not getting what I'm attempting very poorly to say. You are completely ignoring the "upset factor" or "punchers chance" or whatever you want to call it. On any given day the worse team can pull the upset. It happens all the time. MSU loses to Holy Cross. Shit like that. Indiana doesn't get the luxury of the upset loss on their schedule. They must destroy the B1G to get in and they did. But that makes it more difficult for them. They can not afford the luxury of having off days or upset losses. That's why it's more difficult for the #5 team in SEC basketball. Their resume must be pristine vs 8-14. No room for "upset factor" or they get eliminated and the team from the stronger power conference gets in.