Our path to a Regional...

[Cooterpoot]

These "committees" tend to send teams to places they've been before. We're probably going to be a fairly low end 2 seed IMO, so that means a top 8 regional possibly. Looks like one of the Oregon sites or NC to me right now after looking at projections. If we end up a higher 2, then NCSt or Coastal makes sense. USM has no shot at a regional host.

[KB21]

I think we will be a 2 seed at either North Carolina or Florida State.

[basedog]

Just amazing once again we are even talking about a 2 seed, just a few weeks ago we weren't making a regional, LOL. Btw 34, I have to disagree with your thoughts about having the same assistants running the show with you saying main reason Lemonis was let go was he didn't make or go to a regular lineup. His clubhouse leadership was a major fall the last say 4 years, he lacked confidence as it shows in this lineup decision, Parker has worked on fundamentals since taking over than Lemonis ever even thought about.
Seems the players have welcomed this situation and I'm betting they were not all that concerned about the firing talk being our problem.

We are talking 2 seed now, wow hope it happens. Oh, know doubt Missouri may be the worse sec team ever in baseball, let's end the regular season only losing one game since the change.

[Cooterpoot]

I think we will be a 2 seed at either North Carolina or Florida State.

I don't think we'll be low enough to be at FSU but the committee likes to send teams to familiar places.

[R2Dawg]

This MSU team responded like so many before when our back was against the wall. We are playing well right now at the right time.

I wouldn't want to see this MSU team in my regional.

[Quaoarsking]

FINAL UPDATE: We did it! We outperformed my "optimistic path" by 2 games to finish 15-15, and we are a lock to make a Regional, and probably will be a 2 seed. Great job, team!

Whoever draws us as their 2 seed is going to be pissed. Doubly so if we end up as a 3.

...is not very likely. I'm going to be optimistic about our 7 remaining SEC series:

• ❌✅✅ South Carolina - let's say we take 2/3
• ✅✅❌ @ Alabama - maybe we get 1
• ❌❌✅ Florida - they're 1-8 just like us, so we ought to win 2/3 at home
• ❌✅❌ @ Auburn - again maybe 1
• ✅✅✅ Kentucky - they have a losing SEC record right now, but it's at home, so let's get 2/3
• ❌✅✅ Ole Miss - let's be super optimistic and say we take 2/3
• ✅✅✅ @ Missouri - they've had our number lately even when terrible, but let's say we get 2/3

If we do all of that, winning each remaining home series, winning the series at Missouri, and avoiding a sweep at Alabama and Auburn, that gets us to 13-17, which gives us a chance for a Regional. Not a lock, because I project an RPI around #50 at 13-17, but at least on the table. If we can do all of that and win another game to get to 14-16, I'd feel a lot better.

No SEC team has ever gotten in at 12-18. A few (including us) have gotten in at 12-17, but never 12-18 or worse. Could that change this year? Yes - no 6-12 team had ever made the men's basketball tournament before, and 2 teams did that this year for the first time. But their metrics were a lot better than ours.

It's a yearly tradition here for some posters to be saying we won't make a Regional and usually it's a lot of overreacting, but this year, anyone saying that is probably right. The path listed above is pretty optimistic. Nothing about this season makes me confident that we can go 12-9 in the SEC from here out, and even if we do, I'm not sure we get in.

[Coursesuper]

I don't think we'll be low enough to be at FSU but the committee likes to send teams to familiar places.

I can see a path thru Westwood or Corvallis for this team. They could advance from either of those locations.

[Tater]

FINAL UPDATE: We did it! We outperformed my "optimistic path" by 2 games to finish 15-15, and we are a lock to make a Regional, and probably will be a 2 seed. Great job, team!

Whoever draws us as their 2 seed is going to be pissed. Doubly so if we end up as a 3.

We're 5 wins away from hosting.

[Todd4State]

We're 5 wins away from hosting.

Hosting is pretty much out of the question. We need to play to secure a 2 seed. A loss to Texas A&M could knock us down to a 3 seed.

[Todd4State]

I can see a path thru Westwood or Corvallis for this team. They could advance from either of those locations.

Might add Eugene to that list.