Our path to a Regional...

[Cooterpoot]

We aren't losing two to MO. But if we did, wooo weee! That might be a USC/Kiffin situation there!

[Coursesuper]

We aren't losing two to MO. But if we did, wooo weee! That might be a USC/Kiffin situation there!

Selfishly hoping for that this weekend.

[confucius say]

Selfishly hoping for that this weekend.

You're hoping we lose?

[Coach34]

I wont be surprised if we win the Auburn series. I also wont be surprised if we get swept. Hopefully they come out tonight and battle. The season is not over but the boat is taking on alot of water. Keep rowing.

[Coursesuper]

You're hoping we lose?

No, just don't think we can win there and may get swept.

[Tbonewannabe]

I wont be surprised if we win the Auburn series. I also wont be surprised if we get swept. Hopefully they come out tonight and battle. The season is not over but the boat is taking on alot of water. Keep rowing.

Not that I want to compare to anything Ole Miss but they won a National Title when they shouldn't have even been in a Regional. That is why you have to let it play out. Baseball is weird that way.

[Cowbell]

Our national championship team lost 2 of 3 to Mizzou AT HOME. And Bednar was lit up. They've had our number the last few years for whatever reason.

I will never forget this. They kicked our teeth in. Followed it up with the two run rules in the tourney. That's when a large part of this board started to question Lemonis.

[Pancho]

and it continues

[R2Dawg]

I will never forget this. They kicked our teeth in. Followed it up with the two run rules in the tourney. That's when a large part of this board started to question Lemonis.

That Mizzou series cost us an SEC title; it was large. Yes we made up for it later but no doubt it was a big, big let down.

[Quaoarsking]

Another update: We are actually still matching the pace to get to 13-17 described in the original post. We need to go 6-3 over our last 9 to be in the discussion for a Regional, 7-2 to probably get in. Sweeping Missouri is a must, and then hopefully get 4 of other 6.

It's so frustrating because we are way too talented to just be 7-14 right now. Very poor job from our coaching staff.

...is not very likely. I'm going to be optimistic about our 7 remaining SEC series:

• ❌✅✅ South Carolina - let's say we take 2/3
• ✅✅❌ @ Alabama - maybe we get 1
• ❌❌✅ Florida - they're 1-8 just like us, so we ought to win 2/3 at home
• ❌✅❌ @ Auburn - again maybe 1
• Kentucky - they have a losing SEC record right now, but it's at home, so let's get 2/3
• Ole Miss - let's be super optimistic and say we take 2/3
• @ Missouri - they've had our number lately even when terrible, but let's say we get 2/3

If we do all of that, winning each remaining home series, winning the series at Missouri, and avoiding a sweep at Alabama and Auburn, that gets us to 13-17, which gives us a chance for a Regional. Not a lock, because I project an RPI around #50 at 13-17, but at least on the table. If we can do all of that and win another game to get to 14-16, I'd feel a lot better.

No SEC team has ever gotten in at 12-18. A few (including us) have gotten in at 12-17, but never 12-18 or worse. Could that change this year? Yes - no 6-12 team had ever made the men's basketball tournament before, and 2 teams did that this year for the first time. But their metrics were a lot better than ours.

It's a yearly tradition here for some posters to be saying we won't make a Regional and usually it's a lot of overreacting, but this year, anyone saying that is probably right. The path listed above is pretty optimistic. Nothing about this season makes me confident that we can go 12-9 in the SEC from here out, and even if we do, I'm not sure we get in.

[KOdawg1]

The end is in sight. We're almost there.

[Todd4State]

Another update: We are actually still matching the pace to get to 13-17 described in the original post. We need to go 6-3 over our last 9 to be in the discussion for a Regional, 7-2 to probably get in. Sweeping Missouri is a must, and then hopefully get 4 of other 6.

It's so frustrating because we are way too talented to just be 7-14 right now. Very poor job from our coaching staff.

We have a RPI issue and a quad 1 win issue. Kentucky's RPI isn't great either and Ole Miss may be in the 20's when we play them. We all know about Mizzou. Winning the series against Kentucky and Ole Miss might get us in the 30's. And we can't afford to lose any midweek games.

Our RPI is 45 as I type this.

[Cooterpoot]

I've got a better chance of tripping over my pecker

Thud

[Coursesuper]

Thud

Well played!

[EdwardDrayton]

Thud

LOL!!

[EdwardDrayton]

We have won TWO of SEVEN conference series. Anybody wanna bet we win three of the last three?!!??

[somebodyshotmypaw]

We have a RPI issue and a quad 1 win issue. Kentucky's RPI isn't great either and Ole Miss may be in the 20's when we play them. We all know about Mizzou. Winning the series against Kentucky and Ole Miss might get us in the 30's. And we can't afford to lose any midweek games.

Our RPI is 45 as I type this.

13-17 normally gets an SEC team in. But I don’t believe we will have the RPI necessary. If we had Arkansas on the schedule instead of Missouri then 13-17 would produce a higher RPI. If we had beaten Troy and won 2 of 3 in the Houston tourney then we would have a highe RPI. I don’t think 13-17 will get us in. I think we need 14, and possibly even 15 wins.

[sandjunky]

This team has the ?not it? factor going for it

[Cooterpoot]

Gifted a schedule, shit the bed

[99jc]

I wont be surprised if we win the Auburn series. I also wont be surprised if we get swept. Hopefully they come out tonight and battle. The season is not over but the boat is taking on alot of water. Keep rowing.

It amuses me the way you always cover your ass !