Quote Originally Posted by Coach34 View Post
Analytics say this should be a close game.

State 30 Rockets 24
Can you explain this more? What analytics?

Their qb has only completed better than 60% in 3 of 12 gsmes in which he threw more than 5 passes. He completed 38% last week vs UMass.

Our run game is struggling but ? Will they be able to punish us for being one dimensional on offense. They are #94 in passing defense. That seems to favor us, as our run game struggling but in games the offense can spread them out and pick them apart we will be okay.

We are at home. This will be an intimidating environment for Toledo.

The matchup and analytics seem to favor us. I think people know Candle is a great coach and Toledo has been good in recent years and they are basing predictions on those surface factors vs analytics. But I see a lot of picks for an upset. What am I missing on analytics specifically?