Net update - #33

[gtowndawg]

aTm lost 5 spots after winning at mizzou last night. Not sure what their opponents did, but that's concerning

Dang

[R2Dawg]

Disagree. I think 8 wins gets us in. We go 9-9? We'll be a damn 7-8 seed

I'm not saying we might not could get in at 8 wins but that would depend on what some others likely do. I think we go 9-9 we in regardless. I was looking at it from a control your own destiny standpoint.

[confucius say]

Disagree. I think 8 wins gets us in. We go 9-9? We'll be a damn 7-8 seed

Not possible. We won't be 7-8 seed at 9-9 in the league. That's insane.

[confucius say]

aTm lost 5 spots after winning at mizzou last night. Not sure what their opponents did, but that's concerning

Where are you seeing that? Aggie has moved up 4 spots from 50 to 46 since sunday and their only game was at Mizzou last night. So if they dropped 5 spots after winning last night then that would mean they moved up 9 spots from Sunday to Wednesday without playing, which seems impossible this time of year, and then fell back 5 yesterday. Seems unlikely.

https://www.warrennolan.com/basketball/2024/net

[Coach34]

Not possible. We won't be 7-8 seed at 9-9 in the league. That's insane.

UPig was an 8 seed last year with an 8-10 SEC record.

[MoreCowbell]

You're probably going to win that bet. Congrats!

Man I hope so

[MoreCowbell]

You're probably going to win that bet. Congrats!

I bet the over (19.5 wins) the day before conference play started. 9-9 in SEC would put us at 20.

[StarkVegasSteve]

UPig was an 8 seed last year with an 8-10 SEC record.

I think the difference is that Arkansas played 17 Q1 games last year. They also did not have a Q4 loss anchoring them down. However, I think 9-9 and we are in safely. Bubble is not great this year.

[MoreCowbell]

Not possible. We won't be 7-8 seed at 9-9 in the league. That's insane.

Definitely possible. If you go by Warren Nolan prediction of 20-11 and 9-9 in conference we would have a 30 NET with the #13 SOS. 7-9 vs Q1/Q2 opponents with 3/4 top 20 wins and 6/7 wins against tourney teams.

8 seed would probably be too high honestly.

[Dawgs87]

aTm lost 5 spots after winning at mizzou last night. Not sure what their opponents did, but that's concerning

I think that aTm actually went up 5 spots, from 51 to 46

[msstate7]

I think that aTm actually went up 5 spots, from 51 to 46

Wow, I'm dumb. Thanks for this correction bc that's good news if we win Saturday

[confucius say]

UPig was an 8 seed last year with an 8-10 SEC record.

Without a lost to southern and a 21 in the NET. Not happening for us.

[confucius say]

Wow, I'm dumb. Thanks for this correction bc that's good news if we win Saturday

I don't expect we would do the same.

[msstate7]

I don't expect we would do the same.

I just don't wanna be punished for winning

[StarkVegasSteve]

I just don't wanna be punished for winning

I would rather not be punished at all but if we have to, I would rather be punished slightly from winning than a huge hit with a loss.

[Coach34]

Definitely possible. If you go by Warren Nolan prediction of 20-11 and 9-9 in conference we would have a 30 NET with the #13 SOS. 7-9 vs Q1/Q2 opponents with 3/4 top 20 wins and 6/7 wins against tourney teams.

8 seed would probably be too high honestly.

Exactly- we'll be an 8 if we get to 9-9. The SEC is even stronger this year than last- looking at putting a record 9 teams in

[confucius say]

I just don't wanna be punished for winning

Agree. That's the down side of playing horrible teams. Good thing is that it is on the road though, so we may move up slightly. Then next week vs Ark I would not expect any upward movement even if we win.

The 10 point margin rule is important in games like this. We need to win by double figures.

[confucius say]

Exactly- we'll be an 8 if we get to 9-9. The SEC is even stronger this year than last- looking at putting a record 9 teams in

Bookmark.

[PGHBulldogBG]

I want us to make the tournament with an 8-10 SEC record, but the chance of it happening this year is extremely slim. Our non conference resume does not have the same wins it had last year. We beat Big East champ 2 seed Marquette on a neutral court and we beat a TCU team that was a 6 seed. This year our best non conference wins were bubble teams NW and Wazzu on neutral courts. That was equal to our non conference neutral win last year against Utah. Also, we only had 1 non conference loss last year to Drake on a neutral court which was quad 2 and they won their conference and made the NCAA as a 12 seed. We did not have a horrendous home loss to Southern either. Our resume was much better although I will say the bubble may be a bit softer this year so that could help. We just need to get to 9-9 and that should secure a bid, but 10-8 would be the best. Also I don’t really think the selection committee looks at conference tournaments much anymore unless an underdog wins the conference. The last few years some teams have got hot in their tournaments and made the final or semis and lost but didn’t get in. Vandy was a prime example last year and I believe Rutgers was the same

[Coach34]

I want us to make the tournament with an 8-10 SEC record, but the chance of it happening this year is extremely slim. Our non conference resume does not have the same wins it had last year. We beat Big East champ 2 seed Marquette on a neutral court and we beat a TCU team that was a 6 seed. This year our best non conference wins were bubble teams NW and Wazzu on neutral courts. That was equal to our non conference neutral win last year against Utah. Also, we only had 1 non conference loss last year to Drake on a neutral court which was quad 2 and they won their conference and made the NCAA as a 12 seed. We did not have a horrendous home loss to Southern either. Our resume was much better although I will say the bubble may be a bit softer this year so that could help. We just need to get to 9-9 and that should secure a bid, but 10-8 would be the best.

Damn guys you have to start looking at the metrics and not the name on the jersey.

2023 OOC SOS- 197
2024 OOC SOS- 110

2023 SOS- 52
2024 SOS- 19

We are stronger this year than last year by a good margin