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Originally Posted by
engie
My point is -- for that to happen -- by playing with the class calculator -- we'd have to whiff pretty badly down the stretch. The average star ratings are skewed against us right now as well -- with Scout starting everyone out as a 3* basically regardless(which basically seems to default to an 83.33 rating on 24/7). We're about 6 players away -- none of which are a stretch to think they come to MSU -- from being up to 217 total points, which would have had us into the top 25 last year. That is before considering all of the sleepers/non blue chips that will add some value to the class -- and there will probably be 10 or so additional players that fit that bill.
If you take our current class and extrapolate it to 25 on the calculator today, we will total 215.89. That's counting our top 7 3x and bottom 2 2x. That was 30th last year. Is that not accurate since they tinker with the standard deviation of the avg commitment per team factor or is it not significant enough to worry about?
The 6 players you referenced must be real solid if they get us 217 at 15 commits. If we are about to kill it, awesome, we are about to kill it. Otherwise, we have to keep up the current pace to crack the Top 30.
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