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Originally Posted by
TUSK
That was as strong as a garlic milkshake.
You must spread some Reputation around before giving it to Todd4State again.

Originally Posted by
Todd4State
Speaking of missing "key things" it should be abundantly clear that I don't think it's over.
Do you think it's over since you are the one patting yourself on the back with your predictions before it's over which you did first?
I don't care if you're the villain or not. I just wanted to know why you called me out in the first place? Even though I knew it would digress to this because ironically YOU always have to be right.
It's clear NOW that you don't. Hence why I ASKED.
And no. I was showing. that my predictions where right around where that study in question would have us end up landing.

Originally Posted by
Todd4State
Not sure why you're patting yourself on the back here when you we're way off.
Were is past tense and implies something in the past.

Originally Posted by
hacker
Let's assume this Santa Clara testing is true and 2.5% - 4% of the population has had the virus. (I'm skeptical, but that's another story.)
We need about 60% of the population infected for herd immunity.
That is a range of 15 - 24 times more cases than we have now to reach herd immunity.
Assuming 2.5% - 4% infected and our current 38000 deaths, if we were to reach 60%, that would be 570,000 - 912,000 deaths.
That's shocking to me. Did I do the math wrong? Someone check it.
I really don't think we should be in a rush to try to obtain herd immunity.
And my initial prediction was 500k.
Does this clear it up? I'm clear on you not thinking it's over. We're past that. I don't think this is over. My point was my prediction would fall right in line with that Sabra Clara study. You made a comment like the predictions were way off, but they weren't.
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