Quote Originally Posted by hacker View Post
Probably max 1 million in the US. For every person sick enough to get a test, there may be 4 out there whose symptoms weren't bad enough to get tested.

Iceland has been randomly testing everyone. They show 50% of positive cases are asymptomatic.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/01/europ...ntl/index.html

Edit: Assuming the 50% asymptomatic stat holds true, for there to be more than 1 million total cases, there would have to be more than twice as many undetected cases where the person is actually sick and not getting tested. I don't think that's true.
Your first paragraph accounts for those sick enough to get a test and, 4 times that number, those who have symptoms but not bad enough to get tested. It doesn't at all account for those who have gotten the virus but have no symptoms, which we know is a large number.

I think if everybody in America were tested, all 330 million, there would be way, way more than 1 million who test positive or who have had the virus already. Probably 1 million just in New York.