Quote Originally Posted by confucius say View Post
Got ya. But that's not statistics. Your using words like "assumed." But more importantly, your formula is not accounting for the people (I'm "assuming" thousands and probably millions) who have had the virus and not sought testing.
That's the thing about any statistics right now is we really don't have enough data. So you can either be optimistic using the data or negative using the data depending on how you want to look at it. The truth will likely lie somewhere in the middle.