Quote Originally Posted by dantheman4248 View Post
I literally broke it down in my post...

About 10% of Closed cases have closed with death. You can't look at the death rate as dead / infected. Some of those still might die. So from that 10% I assumed that roughly 50% of people requesting testing that actually have the virus are turned down. Knocked it down to 5%. I also think that as we naturally get better at best methods to fight this disease, that percentage gets cut in half at minimum. So that's 2.5% and I took another .5% off to be more conservative. That's 2%.


Currently the world has ~95k recovered cases and ~13k deaths. That suggests 12% of closed cases end with death. Sobering statistic.
Got ya. But that's not statistics. Your using words like "assumed." But more importantly, your formula is not accounting for the people (I'm "assuming" thousands and probably millions) who have had the virus and not sought testing.