Quote Originally Posted by JPdog View Post
Lunardi said in his latest bubble article that 11-7 in conference would warrant a very serious consideration from the committee or something along those lines. I personally would be very nervous at 11-7 but I think 12-6 and we?re definitely in
I had said on here that no 12-6 team had ever been left out (from the SEC). I was wrong on that. There were a few in the first 2 years of the 18 game league schedule. Teams that finish with 11 or 12 conference wins get in at about the same rate (~60%) but it's a small sample size. That number jumps up to 100% at 13-5. That being said, I think the task is pretty clear. We can lose 2 more games, but we'll have to do some work in the SECT. Going 5-1 down the stretch should punch our ticket. 6-0 absolutely punches our ticket, but IDK if we are strong enough to pull that off. I'd say 4-2 if I had to wager. Losses at USC and at Mizz. 3 weeks remaining and it's all up in the air. We moved up to the 4th team out on bracketmatrix. That site is awesome for those that like to track it this time of year.