Tuesday Severe Weather Thread
Okay guys...we have had two days of absolute Hell down here in the South. Sad thing is, we're not done yet. Here is what SPC has out for their Day 1 Convective Outlook.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/out...1otlk_1300.gif
As you can see, this polygon DOES include Starkville, MS and most of East-Central MS. This line of storms that will develop in the afternoon will interact with a mid-level jet (between 700 and 500 mb) to produce some really strong uplift. Add in CAPE values around 2000-2500 J/kg and you have instability that you need. The only thing that's limiting me on the tornado threat is the Southwesterly flow at the surface. This all is associated with a decaying MCS (Mesoscale Convective System) that has been the driving force for all of our severe weather lately. But as we progress from afternoon into evening, the strong supercell threat will decrease and this will turn more into a linear system, or a QLCS (Quasi-linear convective system). But once again, this thing is still not something we want to mess with today. We've seen what it can do in the right circumstance. This isn't the GREATEST setup in the world but I believe it can still produce some fairly strong tornadoes and if it doesn't produce a tornado near you then you still have a straight-line wind and hail threat that you'll have to watch out for. I will be out of pocket between 3:30 and around 4:45 today due to class. I know y'all will keep this thing running for me while I'm gone. If y'all have any questions/concerns please feel free to ask.
