Our path to a Regional...

We aren't losing two to MO. But if we did, wooo weee! That might be a USC/Kiffin situation there!

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Cooterpoot

We aren't losing two to MO. But if we did, wooo weee! That might be a USC/Kiffin situation there!

---

Selfishly hoping for that this weekend.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Coursesuper

Selfishly hoping for that this weekend.

---

You're hoping we lose?

I wont be surprised if we win the Auburn series. I also wont be surprised if we get swept. Hopefully they come out tonight and battle. The season is not over but the boat is taking on alot of water. Keep rowing.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by confucius say

You're hoping we lose?

---

No, just don't think we can win there and may get swept.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Coach34

I wont be surprised if we win the Auburn series. I also wont be surprised if we get swept. Hopefully they come out tonight and battle. The season is not over but the boat is taking on alot of water. Keep rowing.

---

Not that I want to compare to anything Ole Miss but they won a National Title when they shouldn't have even been in a Regional. That is why you have to let it play out. Baseball is weird that way.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by StarkVegasSteve

Our national championship team lost 2 of 3 to Mizzou AT HOME. And Bednar was lit up. They've had our number the last few years for whatever reason.

---

I will never forget this. They kicked our teeth in. Followed it up with the two run rules in the tourney. That's when a large part of this board started to question Lemonis.

and it continues

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Cowbell

I will never forget this. They kicked our teeth in. Followed it up with the two run rules in the tourney. That's when a large part of this board started to question Lemonis.

---

That Mizzou series cost us an SEC title; it was large. Yes we made up for it later but no doubt it was a big, big let down.

Another update: We are actually still matching the pace to get to 13-17 described in the original post. We need to go 6-3 over our last 9 to be in the discussion for a Regional, 7-2 to probably get in. Sweeping Missouri is a must, and then hopefully get 4 of other 6.

It's so frustrating because we are way too talented to just be 7-14 right now. Very poor job from our coaching staff.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Quaoarsking

...is not very likely. I'm going to be optimistic about our 7 remaining SEC series:

• ❌✅✅ South Carolina - let's say we take 2/3
• ✅✅❌ @ Alabama - maybe we get 1
• ❌❌✅ Florida - they're 1-8 just like us, so we ought to win 2/3 at home
• ❌✅❌ @ Auburn - again maybe 1
• Kentucky - they have a losing SEC record right now, but it's at home, so let's get 2/3
• Ole Miss - let's be super optimistic and say we take 2/3
• @ Missouri - they've had our number lately even when terrible, but let's say we get 2/3

If we do all of that, winning each remaining home series, winning the series at Missouri, and avoiding a sweep at Alabama and Auburn, that gets us to 13-17, which gives us a chance for a Regional. Not a lock, because I project an RPI around #50 at 13-17, but at least on the table. If we can do all of that and win another game to get to 14-16, I'd feel a lot better.

No SEC team has ever gotten in at 12-18. A few (including us) have gotten in at 12-17, but never 12-18 or worse. Could that change this year? Yes - no 6-12 team had ever made the men's basketball tournament before, and 2 teams did that this year for the first time. But their metrics were a lot better than ours.

It's a yearly tradition here for some posters to be saying we won't make a Regional and usually it's a lot of overreacting, but this year, anyone saying that is probably right. The path listed above is pretty optimistic. Nothing about this season makes me confident that we can go 12-9 in the SEC from here out, and even if we do, I'm not sure we get in.

---

The end is in sight. We're almost there.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Quaoarsking

Another update: We are actually still matching the pace to get to 13-17 described in the original post. We need to go 6-3 over our last 9 to be in the discussion for a Regional, 7-2 to probably get in. Sweeping Missouri is a must, and then hopefully get 4 of other 6.

It's so frustrating because we are way too talented to just be 7-14 right now. Very poor job from our coaching staff.

---

We have a RPI issue and a quad 1 win issue. Kentucky's RPI isn't great either and Ole Miss may be in the 20's when we play them. We all know about Mizzou. Winning the series against Kentucky and Ole Miss might get us in the 30's. And we can't afford to lose any midweek games.

Our RPI is 45 as I type this.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Cooterpoot

I've got a better chance of tripping over my pecker

---

Thud

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Cooterpoot

Thud

---

Well played!

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Cooterpoot

Thud

---

LOL!!

We have won TWO of SEVEN conference series. Anybody wanna bet we win three of the last three?!!??

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Todd4State

We have a RPI issue and a quad 1 win issue. Kentucky's RPI isn't great either and Ole Miss may be in the 20's when we play them. We all know about Mizzou. Winning the series against Kentucky and Ole Miss might get us in the 30's. And we can't afford to lose any midweek games.

Our RPI is 45 as I type this.

---

13-17 normally gets an SEC team in. But I don’t believe we will have the RPI necessary. If we had Arkansas on the schedule instead of Missouri then 13-17 would produce a higher RPI. If we had beaten Troy and won 2 of 3 in the Houston tourney then we would have a highe RPI. I don’t think 13-17 will get us in. I think we need 14, and possibly even 15 wins.

This team has the ?not it? factor going for it

Gifted a schedule, shit the bed

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Coach34

I wont be surprised if we win the Auburn series. I also wont be surprised if we get swept. Hopefully they come out tonight and battle. The season is not over but the boat is taking on alot of water. Keep rowing.

---

It amuses me the way you always cover your ass !

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by 99jc

It amuses me the way you always cover your ass !

---

It?s a skill for sure

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Cooterpoot

Gifted a schedule, shit the bed

---

Our Strength of Schedule is 11 in the country.

State's team's path to a Regional is to buy tickets to the Oxford Regional to watch the arch-rival work their way to a Super Regional! These guys couldn't find a Greyhound Bus Ride to "play" in a Regional!

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by confucius say

Our Strength of Schedule is 11 in the country.

---

Our SEC schedule was a gift compared to a lot of the conference. We're 13 and 8 teams in this conference have tougher ones to this point. We're about to finish near the bottom of the conference with a middle of the pack schedule for the SEC.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Cooterpoot

Our SEC schedule was a gift compared to a lot of the conference. We're 13 and 8 teams in this conference have tougher ones to this point. We're about to finish near the bottom of the conference with a middle of the pack schedule for the SEC.

---

A middle of the pack schedule in the sec is not a gift.
We're not good. But the idea that we got an easy schedule is false.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by confucius say

A middle of the pack schedule in the sec is not a gift.
We're not good. But the idea that we got an easy schedule is false.

---

Sure it is, those teams ahead of us with tougher schedules managed quite fine for the most part. We caught a break we couldn't cash in because this staff failed. It's not like we got stuck with our damn football schedule that's killing tgat staff.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by msstate7

1 vs OM Tuesday
1 at auburn
2 vs Kentucky
2 vs OM
Sweep mizzou

That's the path.

---

Came close to meeting/exceeding this week, but alas, 2 1-run losses. No confidence in this team at all, but I do think the path still exists.

This stuff is simple for the several baseball money boosters. They have 2 choices and that is it. Continue the rinse and repeat kinda lackluster teams Lemo fields for a year or two more or simply say they want to go in another direction. Plug pullin time is what i fully feel is the best option currently but one never knows how the elite thinkers who provide the cash will react in these situations. A new HC might limit access in areas which make them feel entitled and very important. There will be only 1 reason for this team not getting at least 2 from UK, 2 from the sharks and seeping Mizzou and he is the reason for the entire current discussuion.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Pancho

This stuff is simple for the several baseball money boosters. They have 2 choices and that is it. Continue the rinse and repeat kinda lackluster teams Lemo fields for a year or two more or simply say they want to go in another direction. Plug pullin time is what i fully feel is the best option currently but one never knows how the elite thinkers who provide the cash will react in these situations. A new HC might limit access in areas which make them feel entitled and very important. There will be only 1 reason for this team not getting at least 2 from UK, 2 from the sharks and seeping Mizzou and he is the reason for the entire current discussuion.

---

The good news is that the actual money movers and shakers do not care about access. They're going to get the access they want no matter who the coach is due to their relationship with the athletic dept. The people who are going to be pissed when a new coach limits their access to the team is going to be the LFL crew that buys them and their parents drinks at The Landing and Two Bros so they'll get access to the players.

Then the question is , how sick are they of the current situation.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by StarkVegasSteve

The good news is that the actual money movers and shakers do not care about access. They're going to get the access they want no matter who the coach is due to their relationship with the athletic dept. The people who are going to be pissed when a new coach limits their access to the team is going to be the LFL crew that buys them and their parents drinks at The Landing and Two Bros so they'll get access to the players.

---

This^

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Pancho

Then the question is , how sick are they of the current situation.

---

We are still paying off our best stadium in the country causing baseball to lose money overall in addition to the price of everything going up. The fact that we are banging our chests about getting football NIL up to 10-11MM while its a min of 15MM to really compete tells me we arent about to pay big money for a new coach.

the other post mentioning potential new HC's are all better than what we have. I was wishy washy on Lemo from day 1 and he has proven my speculation by taking the program down. this isn't a football discussion. If lebby can win 6 or 7 annually then he is a marvelous HC. MSU baseball expects more than that and should be getting it. Lemo can't do it.

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stor...f-64-april-30/

Despite everything, Baseball America has us at #4 in the First Four Out. If we can win the series this weekend, we can probably get into the field of 64.

winning takes care of everything. If we had won the last 2 weekends- Lemon would still have a job. Really need this series. Let's see some good ball this weekend

I could be totally wrong but i think the team catches fire now.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Commercecomet24

I could be totally wrong but i think the team catches fire now.

---

It kind of feels like it.

Or maybe we both have gas.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by confucius say

A middle of the pack schedule in the sec is not a gift.
We're not good. But the idea that we got an easy schedule is false.

---

You almost couldn't choose your own SEC schedule and make it easier.

i agree with that

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Tbonewannabe

You almost couldn't choose your own SEC schedule and make it easier.

---

Texas. 19-2. Running away the sec. Looking at maybe the best sec record in modern history.

At Ok. 11-10. Winning sec record.

At LSU. 14-7. Top 3 in sec.

USCe. 5-16. Next to worst team in league.

At bama. 12-9. Winning sec record.

Florida. 8-13. We will see. Won 10 of last 12.

At Auburn. 11-10. Winning sec record.

80-67. One of the toughest in the league to date. We haven't had the benefit of playing Mizzou yet like 7 others have.