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2014 we had a legitimate shot of at the very least playing for a national championship. I don't think that happens in this current state of things. Dak may not have been a bulldog very long along with a slew of others. I'd much rather have the under the table dealings of before a million times over than this. We missed out on Cam for what 200 thousand? That's 7 figures if it was today.
Dak wouldn't have left after 2013. There was just no way for anyone to know he would have made such a big jump from 2013 (when he was solid but nothing special) to 2014 (when he probably should have won the Heisman, in hindsight).
It's possible he could have transferred somewhere after 2014, but remember that he could have done that anyway since he would have been a graduate transfer. I think we would have held on to him in 2015 since it's not like that team had a bunch of other superstars, so we could have put up a 7-figure package for him.
I don’t think we would have lost Dak. It’s the other guys like a Bear Wilson or Fred Ross that we would have had trouble keeping plus some others on D
No he didn't. Taking year 1 away he averaged 7.38-4.62. Still very doable for lebby in years 2-9 if he stays here 9 years. Yall acting like that's now impossible in today's landscape is insane.
And Dan also threw up a 5-7 in year 8. He averaged 7.1-4.9 over 9 seasons. Very doable for lebby.
The biggest difference is in 2009 with Cam we weren't willing to pay or play the game. Now we have the opportunity to do so because paying players isn't illegal anymore.
I think the new schedule format is going to help us out too. Remember 2022 when we had to play Alabama, Georgia, and LSU and went 8-4? It's going to be very unusual IMO for us to have a schedule that brutal- maybe 2 teams like that but not three. With today's format that team is probably a 10-3 team on the year including the bowl if not better.
And to your point Moorhead averaged what? 7.5 wins in two years? Leach averaged 6.7 with funky SEC scheduling in 2020 and if you take out 2020 he averaged 8.
Mullen won 64 games in his last 8 seasons after a 5-7 1st season rebuild. 64 divided by 8 = 8
Could Lebby average 7 wins? Probably. But it damn sure wont be any more than that. What we are saying is the road to 9 and 10 wins is going to be much tougher than it even was 5 years ago. College football is in a state of constant metamorphosis now.
No. He won 59 regular season games his last 8 years, 64 over 9 years, which is what the conversation was about. We were discussing whether 7-5/8-4 was possible anymore. Whether a bowl game is won or lost has nothing to do with that. And a lot of players and coaches don't even participate in bowl games. Irrelevant metric outside of playoff.
You say Lebby won't average any more than 7 wins?Is that some big statement? The debate started when I said Dan averaged 7.1-4.9 and that I see no reason that we can't be that going forward, and what was said by those on your side of the argument in response is that 7-5/8-4 was no longer doable, that we couldn't be what we've been in the past anymore due to the new era of cfb. The best sustained run we've ever had was Dan's 7.1-4.9 run. That's doable. And our past as a whole is worse than that, more like 6-6 which is certainly doable.
No sane person is arguing we will be a 9 or 10 win program.
I believe things will return to the mean like they almost always do. I think we're starting to see some of the first signs of it now. Look at TAMU and the Jimbo contract. They're not going to spend that much again and have a limit on the assistant coach pool ($11M total). Also hearing LSU is having some NIL issues. I think we are a cycle or two away from starting to see some logic being applied. Think multi year deals that lock players in or have a financial penalty for leaving. Also, may see more teams like Bama, UGA etc. saying if you go into the portal you lose your spot. At some point, not just for the dollar aspect, but you e gotta think the coaches are going to get tired of recruiting and re-recruiting the same kids year after year.
I'm all for the kids cashing in. Yeah they get the scholly and perks that come with it but anybody here that believes the universities are putting academics first are fooling themselves. When you figure in class time and other requirements these kids are putting 12 hour days and a lot of that is before they get to homework. Also, their body and ability is their commodity. That can be taken from them in one snap of the ball. They deserve to make money...within reason.