What does Vegas know?

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Originally Posted by jumbo

home field is always good for 4-5 points, so the experts say.

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Actually, it's more like 3. Varies a little, but not that much.

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Originally Posted by HoopsDawg

Like Coach said, you need to understand how the lines work. They are simply trying to get even action on both sides.

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This is a common misperception of the public. I've heard interviews with sportsbook linemakers who say they want to be on one side or the other and are sweating it out every week just like we are.

Exactly, they think UM will keep it close and Vegas is clearly wrong this time...

They do make mistakes, just not very often..

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Originally Posted by blacklistedbully

Actually, it's more like 3. Varies a little, but not that much.

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I thought it was 3 for pro football and 7 for college.

Vegas knows the bear faithful combined level of delusion is at an all time high and they are cashing in on it. Setting this line draws in the oblivious comatose voters along with the line actually playing into the hyped delusion of the bear faithful.

Some ESPN analyst on Finebaum just laid out the plan for a Bear win. He says Bo just needs to throw for 300+ yards and if he does they have a great chance to win. Saban is 3-4 when a team throws for over 300 he said. Matt Wyatt is also convinced the Mississippi D is legit and the best in the SEC or so he said to start the show today. He also said this game is squarely on Bo's shoulders because he believes Bama can't score more than 24 on the Bear D.

Me personally, I think Bama handles their business and the Bear O-Line and Run Defense gets exposed in a 10 point loss. We'll know a whole lot more about the Bears after Saturday because they haven't played anything close to a decent team yet IMO.

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Originally Posted by tupelopix

Some ESPN analyst on Finebaum just laid out the plan for a Bear win. He says Bo just needs to throw for 300+ yards and if he does they have a great chance to win. Saban is 3-4 when a team throws for over 300 he said. Matt Wyatt is also convinced the Mississippi D is legit and the best in the SEC or so he said to start the show today. He also said this game is squarely on Bo's shoulders because he believes Bama can't score more than 24 on the Bear D.

Me personally, I think Bama handles their business and the Bear O-Line and Run Defense gets exposed in a 10 point loss. We'll know a whole lot more about the Bears after Saturday because they haven't played anything close to a decent team yet IMO.

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The best plan for a Bear win, is for Bama not to show up literally. Bama's 4th team would roll Memphis and Boise with ease. This one will get ugly due to lack of quality and experienced depth on both sides of the ball for the Bears. Nobody is talking about that. They are top heavy with talent and have little experienced depth. Kimchee and Co will be sucking eggs come haltime and will never recover.

I'm willing to bet you guys 80%+ of the money is coming in on bama right now... Maybe even 90%... Would not be surprised to see the line grow to 9/10, only to see reverse line movement come Friday night.

This will be a close game. Bama will win, as they always do, but it will be close. Sims and BoDirt will both struggle. Neither are very good, so it comes down to defense...

Cooper will have around 9 catches for 150 yards and the bama running backs will total about 170 yards rushing. They'll win 34-10.

97% (lol) of the money is on Bama

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/matchups/

Something isn't adding up...