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Thread: New Lineup tonight vs. Southern

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  1. #1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lord McBuckethead View Post
    Hatcher is in a slump, but he will work out of it.
    If he was in a slump he wouldn't be making piss-rod outs all the time. You can tell a slump with a huge jump in strikeouts (not happening) and a lack of hard contact (not happening). This is why you play so many games it all works out but the lack of K's and getting hard contact say he's fine.

  2. #2
    Senior Member Really Clark?'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rex54 View Post
    If he was in a slump he wouldn't be making piss-rod outs all the time. You can tell a slump with a huge jump in strikeouts (not happening) and a lack of hard contact (not happening). This is why you play so many games it all works out but the lack of K's and getting hard contact say he's fine.
    Prior to tonight he has had an increase of K’s though. 30% his last 20 AB’s

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    Quote Originally Posted by Really Clark? View Post
    Prior to tonight he has had an increase of K’s though. 30% his last 20 AB’s
    You're going to come in with a sample size of 20? The reaching you people are doing is insane. Hard contact. No significant increase in strikeouts. Dude is fine

  4. #4
    Senior Member Really Clark?'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rex54 View Post
    You're going to come in with a sample size of 20? The reaching you people are doing is insane. Hard contact. No significant increase in strikeouts. Dude is fine
    20 AB’s is a little over 20% of his total AB’s but more importantly, it is his LAST 20 AB’s that completely debunks your statement that he hasn’t had an increase in K’s. 6 of his 19 K’s came over his last 20 AB’s which definitely contradicts your statement that he hasn’t had an increase in K’s. He absolutely has.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Really Clark? View Post
    20 AB?s is a little over 20% of his total AB?s but more importantly, it is his LAST 20 AB?s that completely debunks your statement that he hasn?t had an increase in K?s. 6 of his 19 K?s came over his last 20 AB?s which definitely contradicts your statement that he hasn?t had an increase in K?s. He absolutely has.
    If you want to take a 20 AB stretch and want to apply any statistical significance to that the K% better be damn north of 75%.

    30% K rate in 20 AB's.... it's sheer stupidity to say that means anything.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Rex54 View Post
    If you want to take a 20 AB stretch and want to apply any statistical significance to that the K% better be damn north of 75%.

    30% K rate in 20 AB's.... it's sheer stupidity to say that means anything.
    I hope Hatcher gets it going soon. But at this point, Cumbest has earned more AB's. So either Hancock to first and Cumbest to DH. Or Allen to first and Cumbest to RF.

  7. #7
    Senior Member Really Clark?'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rex54 View Post
    If you want to take a 20 AB stretch and want to apply any statistical significance to that the K% better be damn north of 75%.

    30% K rate in 20 AB's.... it's sheer stupidity to say that means anything.
    No it’s stupid to say he hasn’t had an increase in his K’s when it’s false. To go from a 17.3% K rate over his first 75 AB’s to a 30% K rate is a jump and a concerning one. 12.7% higher over his last 20 AB’s. To go further, which I know is meaningless to you, Saber metrics only needs 60 PA to decided a K rate is meaningful stat and not just an anomaly. So a full third of that number of his last AB’s gives us a definite rise within that subset of data. If someone is striking out 75% of the time over 20 AB’s and you think it’s only then they are in a slump? You are clueless

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    Quote Originally Posted by Really Clark? View Post
    No it’s stupid to say he hasn’t had an increase in his K’s when it’s false. To go from a 17.3% K rate over his first 75 AB’s to a 30% K rate is a jump and a concerning one. 12.7% higher over his last 20 AB’s. To go further, which I know is meaningless to you, Saber metrics only needs 60 PA to decided a K rate is meaningful stat and not just an anomaly. So a full third of that number of his last AB’s gives us a definite rise within that subset of data. If someone is striking out 75% of the time over 20 AB’s and you think it’s only then they are in a slump? You are clueless
    I agree if he maintains a 30% K rate over the next 40 AB's then you are on to something. But until then you are a moron, as your own post indicates. You can't take 20 AB's and extrapolate anything let alone such a minute jump! Which was my point, it would take a 75+% rate in that small sample to be meaningful.

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