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07-13-2020, 12:17 PM
#4461
Originally Posted by
Lord McBuckethead
Can we keep the conspriracy theories out of this discussion?
Why start now
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07-13-2020, 12:49 PM
#4462
Originally Posted by
Lord McBuckethead
Can we keep the conspriracy theories out of this discussion?
All I did was ask a question. Quit being so defensive.
What makes it a conspiracy theory? I heard a similar story as someone else in a totally different state and totally different situation. Same results though.
I have no agenda. Pretty strange coincidence.
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07-14-2020, 10:01 AM
#4463
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07-14-2020, 10:07 AM
#4464
Originally Posted by
msstate7
Is this for real? I mean wtf
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07-14-2020, 10:08 AM
#4465
Good info on herd immunity studies. We are much closer than we think. NY seems to have reached it.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.the...rticle/614035/
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07-14-2020, 10:48 AM
#4466
Originally Posted by
confucius say
Then there is this:
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1....09.20148429v1
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07-14-2020, 11:12 AM
#4467
Originally Posted by
Liverpooldawg
Did you read the disclaimer?
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07-14-2020, 11:14 AM
#4468
Originally Posted by
confucius say
Is this for real? I mean wtf
There is a thought out there that FL numbers are being pushed in this direction since they were doing so well early on. I'm just glad this reporter questioned the validity of the report
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07-14-2020, 11:19 AM
#4469
It doesn't really make sense to falsify the numbers of positive test cases to make them higher because that would decrease the death rate.
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07-14-2020, 11:32 AM
#4470
Originally Posted by
Dawg2003
It doesn't really make sense to falsify the numbers of positive test cases to make them higher because that would decrease the death rate.
Shut downs and openings are based on positive % of tests.
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07-14-2020, 11:43 AM
#4471
Originally Posted by
Dawg2003
It doesn't really make sense to falsify the numbers of positive test cases to make them higher because that would decrease the death rate.
I suspect it's more about laziness than trying to push numbers one way or the other.
Give 1,000 tests, get back 150 positive results, and just report 150 positive tests and don't take the presumably 7 seconds it would take to report the negative results. Or maybe a clinic isn't even keeping a running tally, so they go back and count the positive results but don't bother counting the tests given. Who knows.
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07-14-2020, 11:58 AM
#4472
Originally Posted by
Johnson85
I suspect it's more about laziness than trying to push numbers one way or the other.
Give 1,000 tests, get back 150 positive results, and just report 150 positive tests and don't take the presumably 7 seconds it would take to report the negative results. Or maybe a clinic isn't even keeping a running tally, so they go back and count the positive results but don't bother counting the tests given. Who knows.
Agreed. Case count matters, but in an ideal world - if you have a high positive case count, you want to see low hospitalization and mortality rates. Mortality is only important to track the potency of the virus, but the hospitalization number is the key. As long as hospitals can treat and release without getting overwhelmed - we're in good shape.
I said this a month or so ago, whatever numbers your reading - they're manipulated. You can find data to support whatever position you have, as the situation is too political. It's sad because there are a lot of areas and hospitals that are on diversion and the general public believes that is a hoax as well.
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07-14-2020, 12:04 PM
#4473
Originally Posted by
Liverpooldawg
No clear answer yet, but many believe the answer to immunity lies in T cells. Not the presence of antibodies alone.
Either way, I think if we can get to 70k documented cases in MS we will be ok. NY has 430k cases, 20 million people. Little over 2%. Using the cdc x 10 factor, between 20-25%. That's where we need to get to, 70k documented cases (700k cases using the x 10 factor). Late August.
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07-14-2020, 12:11 PM
#4474
New death highs in Alabama. That darn media trying to panic me again.
https://www.al.com/news/2020/07/alab...mpression=true
Last edited by Turfdawg67; 07-14-2020 at 12:14 PM.
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07-14-2020, 12:32 PM
#4475
Originally Posted by
Turfdawg67
Last 3 day avg including today's 40 deaths is 16.7. Here's Alabama's 3-day avg chart...
So we really aren't seeing anything alarming, yet. Let's see what the next few days bring.
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07-14-2020, 12:47 PM
#4476
Originally Posted by
msstate7
Last 3 day avg including today's 40 deaths is 16.7. Here's Alabama's 3-day avg chart...
So we really aren't seeing anything alarming, yet. Let's see what the next few days bring.
Why the 3 day average and not the 7 day option?
Is there something special about looking at the data in 3 day segments?
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07-14-2020, 12:48 PM
#4477
Originally Posted by
Gutter Cobreh
Why the 3 day average and not the 7 day option?
Is there something special about looking at the data in 3 day segments?
I don't see his posts, but I'm guessing because it's higher. Lolz
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07-14-2020, 12:51 PM
#4478
One of my best friend is an ICU nurse in Jackson hours cut back this week
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07-14-2020, 12:59 PM
#4479
Originally Posted by
Gutter Cobreh
Why the 3 day average and not the 7 day option?
Is there something special about looking at the data in 3 day segments?
I think you should look at both. I actually like 7-day avg the best. In this case though, Alabama had 3 deaths and 7 the previous 2 days, so I think a big day was expected soon. Yesterday's 7-day was tied with March 12th for the highest at 17. Today's is 21. Something to keep an eye on for sure.
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07-14-2020, 01:16 PM
#4480
Presented without comment
Mods don?t get mad it?s just the OG covid thread is 50 miles long
https://twitter.com/fox35amy/status/...430340610?s=21
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