Lunardi's bracket updated today

[msstate7]

OM held Williams to 6pts on 3/10 shooting. He's a very good player but he's not invincible. He may score 20 but 2 out of his last 3 games he's scored 5 & 6 points. It's doable.

We have really struggled lately defending the post.

[MetEdDawg]

Dang right it does, that?s who we are competing with for at-large bids.. why wouldn?t it matter.

Just wondering, is Lunardi so accurate because he?s smarter than everyone else and computers, or is it because the committee just uses his bracket for the tourney minus any changes?

Because about 63 or 64 of the picks are pretty easy to get. Auto bids plus RPI plus a few other indicators and all of us could get at worst 64 of the 68 teams.

[Dawgology]

If this were to happen, it absolutely would not be a guarantee we'd be in.

We know....you keep posting it.....

In truth, with a committee selection process you could win every single one of your games and not win your conference championship and you wouldn't be 100% guaranteed to be in...if you really want to start splitting hairs...

[AlmostPositive]

In the immortal words of Fats Waller, "One never knows, do one?"

[MetEdDawg]

Only saving grace for us with a loss @LSU is if they end up a Top 75 RPI. That would be a loss to a Tier 1 which would help. Would still give us room in the SEC Tournament to make a run and get in.

We desperately need SC to stay in the Top 75 RPI. Keeps our road win against them in Tier 1. We also need Arkansas to stay Top 30 RPI and it would help if Alabama and/or Mizzou could find a way to get back into the Top 30.

We need as many Tier 1 wins as possible right now. Right now we are 3-6 in Tier 1 games. There's a lot of factors in play right now, but we need as good a record as possible against Tier 1 teams. If we can beat UT, beat LSU, and have a team like Bama finish Top 30 RPI, we could end up around 6-6 in Tier 1.

To be honest, I don't care about what seed we are. If we win out things will take care of themselves. But we should NOT be rooting for conference standings interest. We should be rooting for RPI interest. The committee won't care whether we are 4 or 5. If we win our last 2 things will hash out however they hash out. The only way to help us is to bolster our resume and conference standings doesn't mean that much as is shown by the teams below us that are projected in the tournament.

[Coach34]

Just wondering, is Lunardi so accurate because he’s smarter than everyone else and computers, or is it because the committee just uses his bracket for the tourney minus any changes?

Lunardi is usually fairly close- but he always misses a couple each year

[Ari Gold]

Then we better win the while SECT or it's NIT for us.

If we go 1-1 with a win against Tenn and make to sec finals and lose we in. That?s 1 prob 2 more quality wins
Hell i think if go 1-1 with a Tenn win and win one tourney game we get in ( if that one win is a quality win)

[AlmostPositive]

Sometimes it seems winning tough conference games is just a detail. Why should they let that get in the way of punishing an athletic department for scheduling choices made years ago?

If we had only lost a few more games to the right sort of teams, we'd be in like Flynt! (I hope this sounds as absurd as it really is.)

[Chinchilla]

Dang right it does, that?s who we are competing with for at-large bids.. why wouldn?t it matter.

Just wondering, is Lunardi so accurate because he?s smarter than everyone else and computers, or is it because the committee just uses his bracket for the tourney minus any changes?

It's because the committee is very transparent and generally pretty consistent. Lunardi is not the only one that predicts the field with such accuracy. Even if he is the best (I honestly have no idea if he is), it's not by much.

[RiverCityDawg]

Because about 63 or 64 of the picks are pretty easy to get. Auto bids plus RPI plus a few other indicators and all of us could get at worst 64 of the 68 teams.

This. People pump up lunardi like he is a genius when anyone devoting all their time to this like him could do the same thing. ESPN always cites his % correct based on all 68 spots but it really comes down to picking 6 or so spots from about 10 teams and he gets 4 of the 6 right. (And yes, I'm just a hater who's jealous of his gig.)

[AlmostPositive]

This. People pump up lunardi like he is a genius when anyone devoting all their time to this like him could do the same thing. ESPN always cites his % correct based on all 68 spots but it really comes down to picking 6 or so spots from about 10 teams and he gets 4 of the 6 right. (And yes, I'm just a hater who's jealous of his gig.)

I will be impressed if he ever picks the field correctly in January.

[MarketingBully]

I think we win both because I also think LSU loses to South Carolina. If we win tomorrow, no way we drop the game on the road to LSU. It will be a team with everything to play for who is motivated vs a freshman led meh team.

[smootness]

We know....you keep posting it.....

In truth, with a committee selection process you could win every single one of your games and not win your conference championship and you wouldn't be 100% guaranteed to be in...if you really want to start splitting hairs...

I keep posting it because I keep seeing people saying, 'If we ___, we're in.'

That response in particular was because he had said if we beat Tennessee, we're in...but he believes we'll lose to LSU...which would absolutely put our Tourney status up in the air.

[Covercorner2]

We have really struggled lately defending the post.

I feel like we defended Silva pretty well...

[msstate7]

I feel like we defended Silva pretty well...

Foul trouble was our best defense to Silva. Here are Silva numbers...

24 mins, 11 pts (4-5 fg) 12 reb

[Covercorner2]

Foul trouble was our best defense to Silva. Here are Silva numbers...

24 mins, 11 pts (4-5 fg) 12 reb

Foul trouble is part of it. Getting a guy in foul trouble is a gameplan.

[MCsMGs]

We have to win tomorrow night and I just don't think we can beat Tennessee

We see what you did there...

Thanks!

[ZedFedder]

so the **** what? I posted it anyway. Deal with it dickhead

HULK ANGRY! Cool down, brah.

[Dawg61]

We need to win our next 3 games and we need Texas, Baylor and Nebraska to suck the last two weeks.

[smootness]

We need to win our next 3 games and we need Texas, Baylor and Nebraska to suck the last two weeks.

Texas and Baylor both have tough games this week. It is absolutely possible for both to go 0-2...but they're also set up to be helped by a good win or two.

Nebraska's next game will be in the Big 10 Tournament against probably Michigan. A loss there would help us.