Weather geeks, talk to me

[Dolphus Raymond]

As for food plots, we planted two weeks ago but will hold off on fertilizer until after it gets up. No well to pump up duck holes and it looks like that will bite us in the ass this year which sucks because we have done real well on mallards the past few opening days.

[TheRef]

As for food plots, we planted two weeks ago but will hold off on fertilizer until after it gets up. No well to pump up duck holes and it looks like that will bite us in the ass this year which sucks because we have done real well on mallards the past few opening days.

Sorry, man. I wish I had better news. FWIW, while we may not get the burn ban lifted for a bit, the trends may start changing next week. Which means the Winter patterns will fall into line.

[TheRef]

Alright. So I've just looked over the Models that touch into next week (GFS, ECMWF, and GEMS) and here is what I've found.

GFS: Has changed tides and is actually showing precip early next week (Tuesday/Wednesday). Although fairly small amount, it's enough that it's making me think the GFS is pulling moisture aloft somewhere.

ECMWF: Has held off on rain on Tuesday, instead holding it in Louisiana and Texas. However, Thursday/Friday of next week we have a major system pushing through the Delta region and actually reaching the Golden Triangle. Could make the game in Tuscaloosa a little interesting if it holds together to Saturday.

GEMS: Is in line with the GFS with rain on Tuesday/Wednesday. Although, the GEMS is showing more rain and moisture on this run.

As I've said before, don't take a model run by itself. Look at the trends. ECMWF and GEMS are consistent in showing precipitation next week. GFS is lagging behind on showing the precip, but might have finally caught onto the hype train for rain. Giving me more confidence in saying that it will rain enough that you'll be able to notice and pull an Andy from Shawshank.

[starkvegasdawg]

pull an Andy from Shawshank.

This time Red gives a shit.

[K9 Avenger]

Love the weather! This thread needs to be a permanent fixture... thanks to all contributors...

[starkvegasdawg]

Not what I wanted to see. The latest run of the GGEM is now coming in dry for MS.

[starkvegasdawg]

Latest drought monitor is out. As expected, it is reflecting the continued dry weather with the extreme drought area expanded. We did avoid the exceptional drought designation in the state for another week, though. The same can't be said for AL. 76 counties in MS are now under burn bans (3rd graphic)

[starkvegasdawg]

GFS back to showing rain for late next week. Let's hope it holds this time. Other models runs have not come in yet.

[shoeless joe]

GFS back to showing rain for late next week. Let's hope it holds this time. Other models runs have not come in yet.

These rain graphic posts are as dramatic and emotionally swinging as game 7 last nite...keep em comin

[starkvegasdawg]

These rain graphic posts are as dramatic and emotionally swinging as game 7 last nite...keep em comin

That's why we say you can't look at just one model run and take that as gospel. Have to watch and see how they trend over several days. In this case the GFS had been trending rain and cooler weather until it suddenly started going drier and warmer yesterday. Today, it is back to showing rain so I am hoping that stays the trend and we get some much needed moisture. Been watching a pond on my way to my house and it has almost completely dried up. Here is what it looked like last week when I stopped and tresspassed just a little bit long enough to get this quick picture.

[starkvegasdawg]

Canadian coming in wet next week now, too.

[Dolphus Raymond]

Now I'm getting optimistic.

[Dolphus Raymond]

Update?

[dawgoneyall]

Got 3/4 inches of rain last night.

Nana nana boo boo

[starkvegasdawg]

Latest is interesting. Showing the coast getting a deluge but the northern part of the state not so much. The GGEM showing similar. MY official stance now is that we look to be having a system come in late next week that will bring some rain to the area. Where and how much still very much TBD.

[starkvegasdawg]

Got 3/4 inches of rain last night.

Nana nana boo boo

[K9 Avenger]

Only thread on the board that's not full of our idiot fans slamming Bulldog Athletics......BUMP

[dawgoneyall]

That made me laugh

[TheRef]

Only thread on the board that's not full of our idiot fans slamming Bulldog Athletics......BUMP

Earlier it was someone slamming a Bulldog degree, but we have since dealt with that. Glad we can keep this one civil

[turkish]

That can't be real. Right?