Quote Originally Posted by smootness View Post
Then we probably mostly agree. I do think there are times when it makes sense.

But given that on average it takes away your chance at a big inning while also reducing your chances of scoring even one run, I think those times are usually few and far between.
This is really the only place I think we may differ a little. I'm saying it depends on the situation at hand, including the players, how they're performing in the various skills that might apply, including bunting, hitting, pitching, base-running, etc. While I'll concede overall averages suggest this is true in most cases, I submit there absolutely can be situations where the odds of scoring 1 run increase by sac bunting. This cannot be disproven by using team or league averages any more than we can say a .250 hitter has as much chance at getting a hit as a .350 hitter if the team BA is .300. But yes, it is at a cost of reduced chances of scoring more than 1 run and/or maximizing total runs scored in an entire game, thus making it a strategy that should not be employed until late in the game and under the aforementioned circumstances. I do still maintain these situations can and do arise more than just the, "walk-off run" Engie advocates.