MSU and UCLA "Interesting Stats" Thread....

[CadaverDawg]

I am bored, so I will be pulling up some stats and posting them in this thread throughout the day today and tomorrow. Feel free to add your own or add comments to these. Some may be relevant, some maybe not.

[CadaverDawg]

Since Regional play started, Mississippi State has only 2 every day starters that are hitting below .324 in the NCaA tourney....yes, .324! The only two below that are Bradford at .176 and Ammo at .100. Sam Frost and Derrick Armstrong are also below that mark, with Frost at .167 and Armstrong at .250. Trey Porter is hitting .333 off the bench as well.

[CadaverDawg]

Since Super Regional play began, MSU is averaging 12 hits per game. Their lowest performance during that stretch was the CWS Game 1 win against OSU where the Bulldogs had only 8 hits

[CadaverDawg]

With two good staffs going at it, there is a good chance for low scoring and even possibly 1 run affairs. This stat doesn't mean much to me, but MSU is 15-3 in 1 run games this season, and have won their last 10.

[CadaverDawg]

Ross Mitchell has a 0.00 ERA through 9 games in the NcAA Tournament. He has made 4 appearances, pitched 14.1 innings, and given up 0 runs. Girodo is second in postseason ERA, while Holder, Graveman, and Fitts are next in line. Pollo and Gentry have the highest ERa's in NCAA tourney play.

These^ ERA's are based on more than one appearance. Bracewell and Cox are both sporting 0.00 ERA's as well, but in only 1 appearance for each.

Hard to believe we have made this run and Bracewell as only had one appearance and 2.1 innings pitched. It seems we have been saving him for emergency Elimination game starting role.

[msstate7]

Does anyone have the right-left breakdown of ucla's lineup?

[CadaverDawg]

CF Carroll R
3B Kramer L
RF Filia L
SS Valaika R
1B Gallagher L
DH Williams L
C Zeile R
2B Regis L
LF Allen L

This is their lineup in the last game vs UNC. Lot of lefty's

[CadaverDawg]

They pinch hit Bono, who is also a lefty

[msstate7]

Carroll R
Kramer L
Filla L
Valaika R
Gallagher L
Williams L
Zeile R
Regis L
Allen L

This is their lineup in the last game vs UNC. Lot of lefty's

Girodo could have huge game.

[CadaverDawg]

Yea I expect we'll see a lot of Girodo, Ross, and probably even Lindgren and Pollo if it goes 3 games. We also have CT out there.

[CadaverDawg]

Oh, and that was their lineup against a LHP for UNC.

[CadaverDawg]

UCLA has scored 301 runs this season in 64 games. Only averaging 4.7 runs per game.

MSU is averaging 6 runs per game through 69 games.

[CadaverDawg]

UCLA gives up an average of 3 runs per game. MSU gives up an average of 3.5 runs per game

[CadaverDawg]

Plutko has K'd 79 and walked 29 in 118 innings pitched. He has also given up 88 hits in those 118 innings.

That means he is averaging 6 K's per 9, 2.25 BB's per 9, and nearly 7 hits per 9.

[I seen it dawg]

We are going to work these ****ers. We will win in 2 and comfortably.

[CadaverDawg]

Pluto has hit 8 batters on the year. That's not a ton, but I guarantee HBP will be a stat to watch as Plutko tries to establish that inside corner. So far, our players standing on the plate has greatly effected Virginia and Oregon State's pitchers' ability to establish that inside corner.

[CadaverDawg]

UCLA's typical Friday-Sunday rotation is...

Plutko RHP
Vander Tuig RHP
Watson LHP

We will not see Watson until at least Game 3 due to him pitching last night I would think anyway, so we will be facing Right Handers that are very similar to Andrew Moore of Oregon State, but not as good of overall records or ERa's while playing in the same Conference.

[CadaverDawg]

Looking at similar foes...

UCLA lost 2 of 3 at home to Oregon State this year. However, Plutko won game 1 pitching 7 innings of two hit ball, walking 3 and striking out 6.

[CadaverDawg]

In Game 2 of that series against OSU, Andrew Moore blanked them in the Win, and pitched 6.2 innings giving up 0 runs, 3 walks, and 5 K's.

Side note: Moore struck out zero against MSU yesterday.

Vander Tuig pitched a decent game, pitching 6.2 innings, but gave up 7 hits, 2 runs, 1 walk, and 6 K's.

[CadaverDawg]

Now for the Biggest stat of the series in my opinion....

In 69 games, MSU has committed 78 errors, which is over 1 per game.
UCLA has only committed 50 errors in 64 games, which is obviously less than 1 per game.

I have beaten this point into the ground, but it rings more true than ever in this series...If we make errors we will lose this series. I would almost be willing to bet you that the team with less walks and less errors at the end of the series is the Champ. This UCLA team makes you pay for mistakes, much like UCA, but not quite as aggressively on the base paths. We will have to field it well to win.

I would like to see Cohen even tell the team not to risk anything. If a pitcher is fielding a bunt and has to make an off balance throw....eat it and live to see the next pitch. If a 3rd baseman is having to charge and throw on the run to even have a chance at a close play...eat it. This UCLA team can not hit the ball well at all, they only score off of walks and errors for the most part. If we make them beat us with their bats, we will be Champs.