Quote Originally Posted by engie View Post
How does a ball purportedly travel further without travelling faster? That's the root of your disconnect. Yes, it's going to leave the bat at the same speed -- but it's rate of deceleration is MUCH slower -- making even infield line drives/hard ground balls "seem" to accelerate compared to what players are used to -- gap shots carry alot further, etc. This isn't going to show a singular effect on the homerun like you are projecting, but an effect on every single ball hit period -- and every pitch thrown -- that is just about linear. Less drag = more horizontal acceleration -- and faster vertical acceleration. Balls will travel further and get to the ground faster -- and that's not exclusive to balls on a homerun trajectory.

Your HIGH END of your projected increase still has homerun totals at less than 2011 levels, AKA year 1 of BBCOR. Sorry -- that's asinine.

Just admit that you made a bad initial projection the first time without really thinking it through and we can let it go and move on to something else.
Well I'm going to disagree about the rate of deceleration of a line drive by the time it travels 80-120 feet on a rope will affect all that much. Obviously ground balls won't change a damn bit. When I have the time I'm going to avg together the BBCOR numbers, as well as the 2008-2010 numbers... Find what 20% increase and 60% increase back to the norm would be.. And give everyone our "predictions"