It's a 76% chance we are safe when we steal. And that's overall -- not just second -- and I recall us getting hosed at 3rd alot more than second. I'd think it's better than 80% on straight steals at second.

It's a 49% chance we score that guy from 1st with 0 outs.
It's a 47% chance we score him from 2nd with 1 out.
It's a 70% chance we score him from 2nd with 0 outs.

The math gets too complex for where my mind is at right now -- but it seems that it's a better play to straight steal there for us...