Keep an eye on next Tuesday

[starkvegasdawg]

So this is bad:

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/anal...13N_88.82W.png

And this is not so bad?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/anal...73N_89.30W.png

And this is??

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/anal...95N_89.44W.png

The first one you'd have a hard time getting severe weather and the other two forget about it. Just ain't happening. Take the middle one for example. You see how all of the wind barbs are basically pointing the same direction as you go from bottom to top? That's indicating unidirectional wind flow (out of the SW here) as you go up in altitude. You want turning with height. Ideally, at the bottom you want winds out of the SE at the surface and veering around to the west or NW at the top. Also look at the right with all the numbers. You will see a couple that end in CIN. That's convective inhibition, or a cap. Anything over 150 is a strong cap. 250 like you see here would take a nuke to break.

If you're interested or just extremely bored, go our storm chasing team YouTube page (NMSCAS) and search for my video series and find video 3. Thats the one that breaks down several of the severe parameters and what to look for on these soundings. Hell, give all five of them a listen to if you like. Videos 3-5 are probably the best.

[parabrave]

Thanks dude/

[DownwardDawg]

Y'all stay safe!! CC especially you be!
Headed back to Tennessee.

[Commercecomet24]

Y'all stay safe!! CC especially you be!
Headed back to Tennessee.

Thanks man! Safe travels!

[defiantdog]

How slow this thing seems to be moving, it has to go linear by the time it hits central MS.

[starkvegasdawg]

How slow this thing seems to be moving, it has to go linear by the time it hits central MS.

It will be linear before it ever crosses the river. But as we hit peak daytime heating there's a chance some discrete or semi discrete cells form out ahead. If they do they stand a better than average chance of producing a tornado and producing one that might be on up the food chain.

[defiantdog]

Texas is getting hammered today.

[OLJWales]

Nader Warning now here in Fort Worth.

[Commercecomet24]

Nader Warning now here in Fort Worth.

Stay safe!

[DawgFan85]

Well the ABC national news must think it will be bad here in central Mississippi tomorrow. With all that is going on in the world these days it was their lead story tonight.
The storm in Texas and a tornado hitting a school and then they had their weather girl Ginger Zee who was televising from Jackson, MS. Hope she had some security!

[OLJWales]

Stay safe!

Thanks Commerce. Sirens were going off about 10 minutes ago with some pea sized hail. Hope nobody hurt but I hafta admit there's some beauty to that green tint in the sky.

[starkvegasdawg]

Here's the latest from Jackson NWS:

The combination of instability and shear will
support supercells along and ahead of the front, curved hodographs
(strong speed and directional shear) at least initially supporting
discrete supercells as a storm mode. Strong southerly component to
flow aloft may support an increasingly linear storm mode as the
event progresses, with a focus for severe weather at that point
following any bowing segments along established QLCS structures.
Effective storm-relative helicity in exceedance of 300-400 m2/s2
will support quick intensification of rotation in storms, and
strong to significant tornadoes could occur from these storms. In
addition to tornadoes, damaging wind gusts and large hail will be
possible with severe storms tomorrow.

[Commercecomet24]

Thanks Commerce. Sirens were going off about 10 minutes ago with some pea sized hail. Hope nobody hurt but I hafta admit there's some beauty to that green tint in the sky.

You're welcome, stay safe! Looks like we'll be ducking for cover over here tomorrow!

[OLJWales]

You're welcome, stay safe! Looks like we'll be ducking for cover over here tomorrow!

You too and all my home STATE Bulldog Brethren and my 81 yr old Mom in Jacktown. Stay safe I'll be checkin in on yall and the ED Meteorologist Team.

[OLJWales]

Checking out a mighty purty rainbow rat now.

[starkvegasdawg]

Since this post is getting long, after the midnight update I'll start a new thread. I'll be chasing so once I hit the road I probably won't be on here very much, if at all. Kind of need to concentrate on what I'm doing. I've driven into three tornadoes chasing and the family would prefer I not make it number four any time soon. Live stream will be up tomorrow so in the off chance any of y'all are a Patreon supporter at the $5/month level you'll be able to see what I see. If not ans you hear a report of a gray Dodge Ram pulling a wizard of oz you can realize I made #4 yesterday after all.

[Commercecomet24]

Since this post is getting long, after the midnight update I'll start a new thread. I'll be chasing so once I hit the road I probably won't be on here very much, if at all. Kind of need to concentrate on what I'm doing. I've driven into three tornadoes chasing and the family would prefer I not make it number four any time soon. Live stream will be up tomorrow so in the off chance any of y'all are a Patreon supporter at the $5/month level you'll be able to see what I see. If not ans you hear a report of a gray Dodge Ram pulling a wizard of oz you can realize I made #4 yesterday after all.

Thanks for all you do! Stay safe! If you're down this way and need help just holler!

[StarkVegasSteve]

Pretty bad stuff just rolled through here in Plano. Skies got green and it was eerily quiet.

[starkvegasdawg]

Pretty bad stuff just rolled through here in Plano. Skies got green and it was eerily quiet.

College Station has a nasty storm headed for it.

[starkvegasdawg]

The latest HRRR run has chosen violence I see.