I'm guessing Ohio State's 2nd loss would be to Penn State, Michigan, or Michigan State and if they beat Iowa I don't see them taking Iowa over Ohio State. Any loss for Cincy besides SMU should knock them out but I could see them really wanting to get a G5 in this year.
I think the Ohio State love would be too great so it would be:
1. Bama
2. Oregon
3. Georgia
4. Ohio State

And then we get to read even more articles on expanding the playoffs even further.