Hurricane Sally

[starkvegasdawg]

Starting a new thread since the post count was getting on up there.

Sally now at 85mph snd has strengthened rapidly in the last hour. Track and strength at landfall have not been updated since 10am report. Hopefully, this rapid intensification is not a sign of what's about to happen.

[Uncle Ruckus]

Landfall now along the east MS coast?

[msstate7]

Landfall now along the east MS coast?

When?

[Uncle Ruckus]

I think tomorrow evening is still eta. The pressure just dropped a lot, so this thing my blow up. Hopefully the eastward trend continues and it scoots down the coast.

[starkvegasdawg]

Landfall now along the east MS coast?

A more eastward hit is possible. NHC should update track shortly. Right now still tracking due west.

[Mobile Bay]

A more eastward hit is possible. NHC should update track shortly. Right now still tracking due west.

Still somewhere in the landmass?

[parabrave]

3 models have it heading west till due south of Goula then due north up the Goula River. The Ukmet has it hitting Breton then heading straight for Bilox/OS. That track has the Eye tracking over the entire Harrison County coastline.

[Johnson85]

A more eastward hit is possible. NHC should update track shortly. Right now still tracking due west.

Do they do more frequent updates when landfall is near? I was thinking the next update wouldn't be until 4pm central?

[starkvegasdawg]

Updated track is a landfall near Gulfport as a Cat 2.

[WinningIsRelentless]

NWS is telling USAR teams that its 50/50 on the storming shifting further east and hitting Mobile.

[parabrave]

NWS is telling USAR teams that its 50/50 on the storming shifting further east and hitting Mobile.

The HMONs has been forecasting this for the last few days. They have been very consistent.

[Commercecomet24]

The HMONs has been forecasting this for the last few days. They have been very consistent.

I noticed the Hmon also has it going back down through Florida and re entering the gulf.

[starkvegasdawg]

Do they do more frequent updates when landfall is near? I was thinking the next update wouldn't be until 4pm central?

Yes. They'll go to every two hours and then hourly.

[parabrave]

They are freaking out in Pensacola. No warning Pensacola Beach already flooding.

[99jc]

Cat 2 now...hearing could get to Cat 3 now. were on notice for deployment......AGAIN!

[confucius say]

Yesterday morning it was supposed to make landfall as a 1. Now I'm hearing a 3.

Hurricanes are crazy. I feel like even with all the advanced technology it is just an educated guess at best

[Uncle Ruckus]

Looks like it?s going to stall at the MSR mouth and then push back east at a snails pace

[99jc]

We just got the call....headed to Mobile we were told the beaches across to Destin may be totally destroyed...Dolphin
Island if your there get the hell out now. Being a Federal officer and a FEMA 1st responder has really sucked this year! i have only been home 4 -5 weeks since covid started now theses hurricanes.... Hail State!

[Dawgpile]

The latest GFS ensemble has the landfall in Waveland-Pass Christian area, but the Global models mostly have Sally moving up the mouth of Mobile Bay...

[starkvegasdawg]

We just got the call....headed to Mobile we were told the beaches across to Destin may be totally destroyed...Dolphin
Island if your there get the hell out now. Being a Federal officer and a FEMA 1st responder has really sucked this year! i have only been home 4 -5 weeks since covid started now theses hurricanes.... Hail State!

Was really hoping not Mobile, but it is what it is as somewhere between Pascagoula and there looks to be the target. A hit there could cause catastrophic urban flooding.