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Originally Posted by
Johnson85
Well, what would the alternative be?
Getting to the point that the virus burns itself out is going to be painful, but trying to lock down is going to be painful, and it's not a sure thing that we will make a difference. Maybe we'll get a vaccine 1Q of 2021, maybe we want. Maybe we'll get a vaccine but find out that significant impacts on community transmission kick in at 30%, in which case we inflicted a lot of unnecessary pain for nothing. Maybe we won't get a vaccine and awe'll find out tramission doesn't slow significantly until we get 70% of the populatin infected, in which case we were just screwed regardless, but we probably picked the more painful method.
Something tragic has happened and a lot of people are going to die. Certainly not as bad as it could be, but it's really bad. Just because it's really bad doesn't mean that we can make it better by locking down. WE were probably 17ed the moment China decided they wanted to try to hide it rather than locking down and preventing spread beyond China. But even if China had been open and forthcoming, I'm not sure they realistically could have contained the spread to within China.
It could have been contained much more if they had been truthful about it and it's transmission rates...or the fact that it was transmittable...recall they originally told everyone it couldn't be transmitted from human to human while hiding numerous cases.
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