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Originally Posted by
Churchill
At this stage what (if any) are the differences in last week and this week ? The areas look very similar.
It is similar, but I don't think we have the dynamics are quite as strong. We will have more instability, though. CAPE values are forecast to be up to 4,000kj. Last week we had about a 100kt low level jet blasting through. Last I saw tomorrow it should be around 60-70kts. Still plenty enough to produce some strong tornadoes, but not a 2.25 mile wide high end EF-4 wedge.
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