Poll - chance that State covers - 20.5

[cheewgumm]

6%

[TaleofTwoDogs]

+6%? A little to optimistic for me. More like -6%.

[wild_dawg]

I put it at about 35-40%, I think we'll score some points. Saban won't let up with the playoff situation so he won't mind running it up.

[Cloak]

50/50. Vegas is pretty damn good

[PMDawg]

1%

[HancockCountyDog]

This won't be popular on here - but of course we can cover.

If our guys come out ready to play we should actually keep it relatively close. I think we should be able to run the ball on Bama. This is not your usual Bama defense, we can move the ball against them if we get Kylin the ball in space and keep our QB as a running threat.

I've watched most of Bama's games this year and I'm not really that impressed with them. They have the best WR's in the country - no doubt, but beyond that I don't see a Bama defender other than Terrell Lewis that concerns me.

[KentuckyDawg13]

85%
MSU 33 bama 41

[parabrave]

This won't be popular on here - but of course we can cover.

If our guys come out ready to play we should actually keep it relatively close. I think we should be able to run the ball on Bama. This is not your usual Bama defense, we can move the ball against them if we get Kylin the ball in space and keep our QB as a running threat.

I've watched most of Bama's games this year and I'm not really that impressed with them. They have the best WR's in the country - no doubt, but beyond that I don't see a Bama defender other than Terrell Lewis that concerns me.

This isn't Arkansas defense.

[Churchill]

We got inadvertently screwed when the playoff rankings came out last night leaving the door so wide open for those bastards. Basically if they beat the shit out of everybody they play from here out..they're in. Saban has thrived on this scenario in the past. We won't cover.

[confucius say]

How healthy is tua?

[DeputyDawg94]

15% we cover. Those WRs will have a field day considering the limited pressure we get on QBs. Prolly a 35 point loss because Saban needs style points now.

[msstatelp1]

<5%

[DownwardDawg]

70% we cover.

[DogsofAnarchy]

We have NO shot of covering.

[cheewgumm]

The line is 18 now. People are betting on State!!!

[msudawglb]

The line is 18 now. People are betting on State!!!

Saban said today that Tua was a game time decision. He's still got soreness in his ankle from the LSU game.

[Cowbell]

I’m just glad that some of you guys are going to be brought back into reality after Saturday.

[Irondawg]

Tua plays and I think we lose by 20 easily. He doesn't it will be closer but I really don't see how we are going to slow them down - we'll need to score 24-28 to keep it within 20 unless they fumble 4 times

[timotheus]

They can whip us and never throw a pass......

[dantheman4248]

Alabama after a loss since 2008:
2008 L 31-17 vs. Utah
2010 W 23-10 vs. Ole Miss
2010 W 30-10 vs. MSU
2010 W 49-7 vs. fakeMSU
2011 W 24-7 @ MSU
2012 W 49-0 vs. Western Carolina
2013 L 45-31 vs. OU
2014 W 14-13 @ Arkansas
2015 W 34-0 vs. ULM
2017 W 24-6 vs Clemson

All that to say they've never beaten an sec team by 20.5 or more the week after a loss since Saban has been in charge there. (didn't count 2007 as they had 6 losses and didn't want to skew what actual Saban teams look like by adding 4 more losses after a loss.)