Interesting Tweet on the Lack Of Competitive Balance in CFB

[ShotgunDawg]

If only there were a way to make this a little better...

Click on the tweet and read the entire thread. Good stuff

It's impossible to calculate collectively how much money college football loses due to this.

[tweet]https://twitter.com/bradpowers7/status/1151910388172115968?s=21[/Tweet]

[Captain Falcon]

As much as I anticipate Bama vs Clemson Part 5 taking place in the Playoff, we’re also due a 2007 or 2014 type year where a bunch of craziness happens and things go totally off script. That said, good luck to everyone else trying to dethrone Bama and Clemson as long as Tua and Trevor Lawrence are still in school.

[ShotgunDawg]

As much as I anticipate Bama vs Clemson Part 5 taking place in the Playoff, we’re also due a 2007 or 2014 type year where a bunch of craziness happens and things go totally off script. That said, good luck to everyone else trying to dethrone Bama and Clemson as long as Tua and Trevor Lawrence are still in school.

You could be correct, but to me the sport and MSU need Bama and Clemson to play as many times as necessary to lead to rule changes.

A wild year only delays what is best for the sport.

[msstate7]

Georgia is gonna win it all this year.

[BuckyIsAB****]

Georgia is gonna win it all this year.

I think they have a good shot. It is time for them to slay the dragon.

[ShotgunDawg]

Georgia is gonna win it all this year.

They may but they are literally the only other team that has accumulated enough talent to have a chance

[BuckyIsAB****]

They may but they are literally the only other team that has accumulated enough talent to have a chance

Im just not on board this train. You still have to line up and play the games, Im all for using math and analytics to help you but I think it has just gone over the top in every league that uses it.

Shotgun you are the billy beane of this board haha

[msstate7]

They may but they are literally the only other team that accumulated enough talent to have a chance

Let's see how fields looks, but Ohio st is loaded with talent... they've signed 27 guys with a 96+ composite rating (11 are 5-stars) the last 3 years. If you count fields, that number goes to 28 and 12 5-stars. If day is a good coach and fields lives up to hype, they're gonna be a handful

[ShotgunDawg]

Im just not on board this train. You still have to line up and play the games, Im all for using math and analytics to help you but I think it has just gone over the top in every league that uses it.

Shotgun you are the billy beane of this board haha

It's not just about recruiting rankings and it's not necessarily about a single games. It's about the fact that these "super teams" have enough talent to play bad vs average teams and still win. Thus they only have to play well in about 2/3 games per year. That allows those teams to circle a few games and prepare for them at a higher level both emotionally and schematically.

That's just not good for the sport. A team like MSU, has to play well about 7 times a year or they'll lose.

[ShotgunDawg]

Let's see how fields looks, but Ohio st is loaded with talent... they've signed 27 guys with a 96+ composite rating (11 are 5-stars) the last 3 years. If you count fields, that number goes to 28 and 12 5-stars. If day is a good coach and fields lives up to hype, they're gonna be a handful

To many ifs. Day wasn't even a good OC on paper.

[msstate7]

To many ifs. Day wasn't even a good OC on paper.

Maybe.

I don't think it's that big of an "if" on fields... I think he's gonna be a stud. Day may not be good, but he has the most talented roster in the big 10 by far.

[msstate7]

Where do you get day wasn't a good OC? Last year rankings...

National rankings...
Total offense - 2nd
Scoring offense - 8th
S&P+ offense - 4th
FEI - 4th

[ShotgunDawg]

Where do you get day wasn't a good OC? Last year rankings...

National rankings...
Total offense - 2nd
Scoring offense - 8th
S&P+ offense - 4th
FEI - 4th

They are WAAAY more talented than most anyone they play and their offensive efficiency or something like that is off. Bartoo talks about how average he is all the time.

[msstate7]

They are WAAAY more talented than most anyone they play and their offensive efficiency or something like that is off. Bartoo talks about how average he is all the time.

So they're elite in almost every category, but you throw all that out bc of some stat bartoo uses that you don't even know what it is? Seems fair, shotgun haha

BTW... Clemson, Oklahoma, Georgia, and Bama are waaay more talented than most everyone they play too

[Dawgology]

Georgia is gonna win it all this year.

The SEC/Birmingham Conference will never let this happen.

[smootness]

In general I think competitive balance is decreasing...but that chart actually makes me less convinced of that. Not sure why he used it, it hurts his overall point.

[TUSK]

In general I think competitive balance is decreasing...but that chart actually makes me less convinced of that. Not sure why he used it, it hurts his overall point.

I thought the same thing... He could have cherry picked better stats to make his point...

His graphic just shows that this year is (thus far) an outlier along with 04 and 09....

[Maroonthirteen]

25/1 may as well be 100/1. Auburn penn st and Washington were better than 25/1 last year and nobody would have bet on those schools to win it last year.

Everyone has known since the 70s, only a handful of schools have a good chance to win the N.C.

However, Clemson isn?t one the national blue bloods. You can build a N.C. program in most places as evident by Clemson. But there just isn?t going to be a bunch of programs year in and out with a chance. That?s just the nature of the beast until some huge changes are made.

[TUSK]

Lost in all of this "lack of parity" between the top 5 or 6 teams and the rest of college football is the fact that there are still 10-12 "winnable" games on most everyone's schedule... why not win the games vs "non-elites", go 11-1ish, and get in the CFP?

[TaleofTwoDogs]

Lost in all of this "lack of parity" between the top 5 or 6 teams and the rest of college football is the fact that there are still 10-12 "winnable" games on most everyone's schedule... why not win the games vs "non-elites", go 11-1ish, and get in the CFP?

That path worked really well for the 2017 UCF Knights.