Page 1 of 5 123 ... LastLast
Results 1 to 20 of 82

Thread: Severe Weather Threat: December 21

  1. #1
    Official Elitedawg Weather Forecaster TheRef's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Minnesota
    Posts
    10,462
    vCash
    67085

    Severe Weather Threat: December 21

    Okay. The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK has issued their Day 2 Convective Outlook and here is what they've come up with.

    So basically all of LA, the AR Delta, and over half of MS are in the Moderate Risk area for Saturday. This means that they are predicting a good chance of severe weather this Saturday. The main threats associated with this system are high winds and tornadoes. Most of the threat will be later on Saturday so plan accordingly.
    B.S. Geosciences, Professional Meteorology Concentration, Operational Emphasis
    c/o 2015
    Mississippi State University
    @ColdSouthern911
    Leicester City FC Owner

  2. #2
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Sep 2013
    Posts
    1,736
    vCash
    3100
    Ref, you think they might upgrade it to a PDS Saturday.?

  3. #3
    Official Elitedawg Weather Forecaster TheRef's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Minnesota
    Posts
    10,462
    vCash
    67085
    Quote Originally Posted by bully99 View Post
    Ref, you think they might upgrade it to a PDS Saturday.?
    Way too early to tell at this moment. They usually reserve PDS for watches/warnings. The word on the Twittersphere however is that there will be a large gathering of storm chasers in the Ark-La-Miss for this event.
    B.S. Geosciences, Professional Meteorology Concentration, Operational Emphasis
    c/o 2015
    Mississippi State University
    @ColdSouthern911
    Leicester City FC Owner

  4. #4
    Official Elitedawg Weather Forecaster TheRef's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Minnesota
    Posts
    10,462
    vCash
    67085
    FWIW, Greg Forbes has assigned a Tor:Con value of 6 for the area which is about what I expected given the Moderate Risk.
    B.S. Geosciences, Professional Meteorology Concentration, Operational Emphasis
    c/o 2015
    Mississippi State University
    @ColdSouthern911
    Leicester City FC Owner

  5. #5
    Senior Member starkvegasdawg's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Eye of the Storm
    Posts
    22,984
    vCash
    3275
    Quote Originally Posted by TheRef View Post
    Way too early to tell at this moment. They usually reserve PDS for watches/warnings. The word on the Twittersphere however is that there will be a large gathering of storm chasers in the Ark-La-Miss for this event.
    I'll be one of them, ref. Can't wait.

  6. #6
    Official Elitedawg Weather Forecaster TheRef's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Minnesota
    Posts
    10,462
    vCash
    67085
    I, however, will be back in the promised land (Starkville) for my grandfather's 97th birthday. If it wasn't for that, I'd be at home grabbing the truck and finding me a nice spotting area just south of my location.
    B.S. Geosciences, Professional Meteorology Concentration, Operational Emphasis
    c/o 2015
    Mississippi State University
    @ColdSouthern911
    Leicester City FC Owner

  7. #7
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Posts
    621
    vCash
    3200
    Quote Originally Posted by TheRef View Post
    FWIW, Greg Forbes has assigned a Tor:Con value of 6 for the area which is about what I expected given the Moderate Risk.
    What was tor/con 04/27/2011?

  8. #8
    Official Elitedawg Weather Forecaster TheRef's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Minnesota
    Posts
    10,462
    vCash
    67085
    Quote Originally Posted by DLGDawg View Post
    What was tor/con 04/27/2011?
    I believe it was 8/9. They had high risk on the Day 2 outlook.
    B.S. Geosciences, Professional Meteorology Concentration, Operational Emphasis
    c/o 2015
    Mississippi State University
    @ColdSouthern911
    Leicester City FC Owner

  9. #9
    Senior Member starkvegasdawg's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Eye of the Storm
    Posts
    22,984
    vCash
    3275
    Quote Originally Posted by TheRef View Post
    I, however, will be back in the promised land (Starkville) for my grandfather's 97th birthday. If it wasn't for that, I'd be at home grabbing the truck and finding me a nice spotting area just south of my location.
    What are some good viewing spots in/around Greenville?

  10. #10
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Posts
    621
    vCash
    3200
    Thanks. Hopefully we won't see another 4/27 for hundreds of years.

  11. #11
    Official Elitedawg Weather Forecaster TheRef's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Minnesota
    Posts
    10,462
    vCash
    67085
    Quote Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg View Post
    What are some good viewing spots in/around Greenville?
    Go South of town to the GHEC. You can't miss it. It's on the East side of Highway 1. East of town you can line up East of Leland and look across the fields. Another good option could be Highway 438 which is South of town. If you have to go North of town, I'd suggest going towards Winterville and setting up near the Indian Mounds.
    B.S. Geosciences, Professional Meteorology Concentration, Operational Emphasis
    c/o 2015
    Mississippi State University
    @ColdSouthern911
    Leicester City FC Owner

  12. #12
    Senior Member Interpolation_Dawg_EX's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2013
    Posts
    4,419
    vCash
    62623
    Here's a link to the TVNweather Live Chasing feed. This is a portal or dashboard type of application where you can follow storm chasers on the map and get live feeds from the car's camera when they're chasing tornadoes.
    http://tvnweather.com/live
    /Thread Hijack

  13. #13
    Official Elitedawg Weather Forecaster TheRef's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Minnesota
    Posts
    10,462
    vCash
    67085
    Quote Originally Posted by Interpolation_Dawg_EX View Post
    Here's a link to the TVNweather Live Chasing feed. This is a portal or dashboard type of application where you can follow storm chasers on the map and get live feeds from the car's camera when they're chasing tornadoes.
    http://tvnweather.com/live
    /Thread Hijack
    Not much of a hijack since this is a weather related thread. I'm sure Reed will be in the area.
    B.S. Geosciences, Professional Meteorology Concentration, Operational Emphasis
    c/o 2015
    Mississippi State University
    @ColdSouthern911
    Leicester City FC Owner

  14. #14
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Sep 2013
    Posts
    1,736
    vCash
    3100
    At one point on that day Forbes had a Tor-Con of 10. May be only 10 he's given since he started it a few years ago.

  15. #15
    Official Elitedawg Weather Forecaster TheRef's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Minnesota
    Posts
    10,462
    vCash
    67085
    Quote Originally Posted by bully99 View Post
    At one point on that day Forbes had a Tor-Con of 10. May be only 10 he's given since he started it a few years ago.
    I believe it was late in the day about 3 or 4 hours before the Tuscaloosa tornado.
    B.S. Geosciences, Professional Meteorology Concentration, Operational Emphasis
    c/o 2015
    Mississippi State University
    @ColdSouthern911
    Leicester City FC Owner

  16. #16
    Senior Member starkvegasdawg's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Eye of the Storm
    Posts
    22,984
    vCash
    3275
    Quote Originally Posted by TheRef View Post
    Go South of town to the GHEC. You can't miss it. It's on the East side of Highway 1. East of town you can line up East of Leland and look across the fields. Another good option could be Highway 438 which is South of town. If you have to go North of town, I'd suggest going towards Winterville and setting up near the Indian Mounds.
    Thanks. Greenville looks to be about center of the shaded area the NWC has outlined as ground zero. Would love to stay in ms if possible. Last time went into Arkansas just south of Eudora and caught my one and only tornado so far.

  17. #17
    Senior Member Interpolation_Dawg_EX's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2013
    Posts
    4,419
    vCash
    62623
    So when can we expect this weather to enter MS and how long will it be here?

  18. #18
    Official Elitedawg Weather Forecaster TheRef's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Minnesota
    Posts
    10,462
    vCash
    67085
    Quote Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg View Post
    Thanks. Greenville looks to be about center of the shaded area the NWC has outlined as ground zero. Would love to stay in ms if possible. Last time went into Arkansas just south of Eudora and caught my one and only tornado so far.
    Greenville definitely seems to be the epicenter. Also, you have many routes to go from there. Highway 1, 61, 82, 65, and 49 to some extent.
    B.S. Geosciences, Professional Meteorology Concentration, Operational Emphasis
    c/o 2015
    Mississippi State University
    @ColdSouthern911
    Leicester City FC Owner

  19. #19
    Official Elitedawg Weather Forecaster TheRef's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Minnesota
    Posts
    10,462
    vCash
    67085
    Quote Originally Posted by Interpolation_Dawg_EX View Post
    So when can we expect this weather to enter MS and how long will it be here?
    SPC seems to be saying around sunset. This is all dependent on how fast this front comes through and will be better through the updates.
    B.S. Geosciences, Professional Meteorology Concentration, Operational Emphasis
    c/o 2015
    Mississippi State University
    @ColdSouthern911
    Leicester City FC Owner

  20. #20
    Official Elitedawg Weather Forecaster TheRef's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Minnesota
    Posts
    10,462
    vCash
    67085
    For those of you curious to know the thinking for the National Weather Service in Jackson, MS. Here is a video of their special weather briefing for the severe weather event.
    B.S. Geosciences, Professional Meteorology Concentration, Operational Emphasis
    c/o 2015
    Mississippi State University
    @ColdSouthern911
    Leicester City FC Owner

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  
Disclaimer: Elitedawgs is a privately owned and operated forum that is managed by alumni of Mississippi State University. This website is in no way affiliated with the Mississippi State University, The Southeastern Conference (SEC) or the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA). The views and opinions expressed herein are strictly those of the post author and may not reflect the views of other members of this forum or elitedawgs.com. The interactive nature of the elitedawgs.com forums makes it impossible for elitedawgs.com to assume responsibility for any of the content posted at this site. Ideas, thoughts, suggestion, comments, opinions, advice and observations made by participants at elitedawgs.com are not endorsed by elitedawgs.com
Elitedawgs: A Mississippi State Fan Forum, Mississippi State Football, Mississippi State Basketball, Mississippi State Baseball, Mississippi State Athletics. Mississippi State message board.