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The way I see it, our main competition for a national seed....
Are our friendly neighborhood Black Bears.
I say that based mainly on 4 things:
1) The SEC is in position to land as many as 4 national seeds, a historic number. I don't see any way there are more than 4 selected, however.
2) There are 6 potentially elite SEC teams deserving of national seed status most years in UF, USC, Vandy, TAMU, MSU, and OM. So at least two of those teams are going to be left out.
3) Texas A&M, Florida, and South Carolina appear to be locks at this point. Vandy appears to be the odd team out right now that has the most work to do down the stretch.
4) MSU and OM have very similar resumes for the 4th spot, but RIGHT NOW the edge belongs to OM. They have better record, higher RPI, much stronger nonconference SOS, and by the end of the season should have stronger overall SOS when looking at the 6 games left that each team has. They are also tied with us in the standings. All we really have going for us is our 3 out of 4 wins head to head, which is significant. But I don't think that is going to outweigh all of the other items above.
Bottom line is that there is a very strong chance we head into the final weekend still tied with OM for either first or second in the West. We all want to finish ahead of both them and A&M for the division title, but its much more important that we finish ahead of them to position ourselves better for that national seed. So I don't know about yall, but I'm rooting like hell for UGA today, UK next weekend, and A&M the final weekend. Not like anyone here should need another reason to root against OM, but there you go.
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