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Basketball Schedule Analysis
I know this has been out for a little while, but I just took a look at the basketball schedule. Whoever does the scheduling needs to do a better job at getting some decent games and avoiding landmines. This schedule will make it very hard to build a decent RPI and make the win total required to make the tournament higher than is has to be. Here is the non-conference schedule. The numbers listed beside them are KenPom rankings/2015 RPI/4 year average RPI
Eastern Washington (132/74/208)
Southern (269/229/215)
Miami (46/65/60)
The strength of schedule may really hinge on beating Miami because the winner of that game will likely get:
Utah (8/19/134)
The loser will probably get
Texas Tech (146/184/191)
The other side of the bracket includes Butler, Minnesota, Temple and Missouri State so it should provide a decent opponent.
UT Martin (143/177/287)
Texas Southern (202/118/194)
UMKC (284/295/274)
Florida St (97/110/65)
Tulane (238/214/216)
Northern Colorado (257/246/243)
North Carolina Central (98/127/153)
Assuming a W vs Miami, and pulling a decent team from the other side of the Puerto Rico Shootout, I only count 4 shots at top 100 RPI wins (Miami, Utah, other team, FSU). Then, I count 8 teams that could be RPI bombs ? even beating them pulling down the rating. The only team on the schedule that?s right in the sweet spot of scheduling in North Carolina Central. They?ve been a solid team that should have a decent ranking and may even sneak into the top 100, but should still be a very winnable game. Eastern Washington may hit that category, but they have a rough history.
Then the SEC didn?t help any by not being a part of the SEC/Big 12 shootout and the SEC teams on the schedule twice are:
Arkansas ? could be solid, but just suspended a big chunk of their starting line-up
USC ? have been terrible for a while, but showed a little sign of life last year
Alabama ? just fired their coach, not sure what they?ll have next year
A&M ? decent team, but nothing flashy to put in the win column
OM ? probably taking a big step back this year
I just think that whoever put this together could have done a much better job of getting a decent strength of schedule and it will hurt when it comes to tournament selection/seeding.
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