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Originally Posted by
hacker
Then the whole country will look like NY/NJ
I thought the whole idea behind the social distancing was not reduce the total number of infected/deaths (that was a given, a constant if you will) but to regulate how many gets infected and dies at any one instant in time to not overwhelm the health care system. If the area under the curve (representing those infected/deaths) is constant then all we have done, using the media and governments terms, is to flatten curve only and not to reduce the area under the curve.
Given the total population and the number of people already infected, including an estimate of those who have had it but not tested, then there is appoint in time where social distancing - extending the time frame in which people get sick, will no longer have the current effect since we will not able to, at that time, overwhelm the health care system. When is that time?
I do agree that the economy - people's livelihood, is being threatened more and more each day with current government restrictions. When is enough, well, enough?
dantheman, do you have any statistics to calculate that?
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