SBW severe weather threat.

[RocketDawg]

The NWS in Shreveport had a severe weather briefing, and a Q&A on their Facebook page at 12:30 today. The meteorologist said that SPC could possibly upgrade some of the moderate risk area to a high risk one, but he didn't think they were. Hopefully they won't do any upgrades, as the potential current severe weather scenario is bad enough now for parts of LA, ARK and MS.

I may be wrong but the last time I remember a High Risk day for northern Mississippi/Louisina/Alabama was April 30, 2011.

[msbulldog]

I'm in the middle of the big old red area in W. Monroe.

[confucius say]

If any updates, please post

[Dawg-gone-dawgs]

If any updates, please post

You have access to the internet evidently. Updates are available and pretty easily accessible.

[starkvegasdawg]

I'm in the middle of the big old red area in W. Monroe.

That's where I plan on staging tomorrow waiting for things to initiate.

[ScoobaDawg]

You have access to the internet evidently. Updates are available and pretty easily accessible.

Please don't be that guy right now. Yes you can tell them to goto Twitter, their local TV station or other things but.. Some people come to here to read what is combined together and easy to read. I plan to be following the storms tomorrow from home (since slick doesn't wanna chase) and will see what the spc and others have to say in the morning. Gonna be a long day so I'm passing out before the next spc and models come out.

[ScoobaDawg]

Last thing. Some very disturbing hrrr models coming out tonight for Louisiana and the state line. All those bright storms are severe and will be in an environment favorable to torandoes.

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[starkvegasdawg]

Moderate risk area has expanded and slightly shifted.

[msbulldog]

That's where I plan on staging tomorrow waiting for things to initiate.

Woke up to storming, heavy rain.

[starkvegasdawg]

Woke up to storming, heavy rain.

Same here. These are not the storms you have to worry about. They may have a little small hail but they won't be the ones producing tornadoes.

[msbulldog]

Same here. These are not the storms you have to worry about. They may have a little small hail but they won't be the ones producing tornadoes.

Thanks Vegas!

[MetEdDawg]

New SPC update comes out around 8 this morning. Will be an interesting release to see what they think.

[starkvegasdawg]

New SPC update comes out around 8 this morning. Will be an interesting release to see what they think.

Saw a tweet from one about an hour ago saying they were discussing high risk for the overnight update but decided against it as still too many potential failure modes, but then added it looks like a solid mid day with a chance to over perform. If they go high I'm betting not until the 11:30 update.

[SaintDawg]

Screenshot_20190413-071112_Facebook.jpg
HRRR. High Resolution Rapid Refresh. Its a numerical weather prediction ran by NOAA every hour for 18 hour forecasts. This was one from late last night. NOAA folks and storm chasers said they don't recall ever seeing one like this in recent memory. Advised that all the forecast tracked cells seen are all capable of strong long track rotation. What say you weather dawgs?

[Cooterpoot]

Woke up to basically an electrical storm. Really bad lightening.

[Interpolation_Dawg_EX]

Scooba and SVD, any similarities between conditions now and the storms that hit April 2010?

Bump.

[MetEdDawg]

If anyone wants to read the discussion from the SPC here's the link. New update is not quite out yet:

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

[Bodawg]

Bump.

I believe you are talking about April 2011. Spc models then had a high risk for northeast Ms and all of the north half of Al. The models right now are showing moderate threats, which is still very concerning.

[starkvegasdawg]

Bump.

Tried to reply last night but Cspire has s tower crash.

There's always similarities between events but 2011 was a generational level event. This is more an annual high end event. Anybody trying to compare today to 2011 is trying to drum up fear for click bait. Will there be a lot of tornadoes today? More than likely. Will there be some violent long tracked ones? Very well could be. Will this be like 2011? Not a chance in hell.

[MetEdDawg]

New update out. No high risk but still the moderate. Current thinking seems to remain the same.