Path to a Regional

[GolfDawg]

As unlikely as it may be, I think this is what has to happen for us to have any hope of making the postseason:

2 wins vs USC. This will be hard, but may be possible with Loftin in the rotation plus some guys having some good outings (Holcombe, KC, Nixon back, Cade?). The question is can the coaches figure out how to make reasonable pitching moves and can the infield play defense? Yet to be seen. We are due for a good series though.

Sweep Alabama. Not easy, but we will have to sweep somebody, and they?re probably our best shot left on the schedule.

Win 2/3 against Ole Miss. If we take care of USC and Bama as I?ve outlined, I actually like our chances of this because we will finally believe in ourselves. I also won?t be against our complete ownership of Ole Miss until that streak ends.

That gets us to 7-8. Then we have to go .500 the rest of the year which is a tall order in of itself. But hey, baseball is a weird sport. Could happen! Hail State.

[StarkVegasSteve]

You actually beat me to posting this. I got to thinking about it late last night after the game as I was packing to head to Houston for the Final Four. If we were to suspend reality and say that a miracle that would make 2018 look like a nice winning streak is even possible I believe this would be the path.

USCe- We have to sweep. You could survive with 2/3 but would need to steal a win somewhere else.
@Bama- 2/3. Would love a sweep but I will never predict a road sweep in this conference. They are reeling from a hot start and we need to take advantage of that.
Ole Miss- Gotta sweep. 2/3 at the worst.
This is where it starts getting dicey and miracles need to happen:
@Auburn- You gotta have 2/3 because of what is coming up.
@Tennessee- You have to find a way to get 1. 1/3 would be a victory and probably makes up for not sweeping either OM or USCe.
Arky- A VERY tall task but you need to get 2/3 because of the behemoth waiting the next week.
@LSU- We will get swept. There is no way around it. Getting 1/3 would be a miracle in itself.
A&M- Again I feel like a broken record, but you need 2/3 and really need a sweep.

So all that gives you a best case miracle happened and Chris Lemonis needs a statue record of 15-15 which would be 15-9 in our last 24. Realistically we need 13-17 or 14-16 overall record to feel like we have a chance. It is a razor thin margin and I do not believe it will happen. But I am a Mississippi State fan so I have found those razor thin margins for years. We have done it once, 2018.

[SPMT]

You actually beat me to posting this. I got to thinking about it late last night after the game as I was packing to head to Houston for the Final Four. If we were to suspend reality and say that a miracle that would make 2018 look like a nice winning streak is even possible I believe this would be the path.

USCe- We have to sweep. You could survive with 2/3 but would need to steal a win somewhere else.
@Bama- 2/3. Would love a sweep but I will never predict a road sweep in this conference. They are reeling from a hot start and we need to take advantage of that.
Ole Miss- Gotta sweep. 2/3 at the worst.
This is where it starts getting dicey and miracles need to happen:
@Auburn- You gotta have 2/3 because of what is coming up.
@Tennessee- You have to find a way to get 1. 1/3 would be a victory and probably makes up for not sweeping either OM or USCe.
Arky- A VERY tall task but you need to get 2/3 because of the behemoth waiting the next week.
@LSU- We will get swept. There is no way around it. Getting 1/3 would be a miracle in itself.
A&M- Again I feel like a broken record, but you need 2/3 and really need a sweep.

So all that gives you a best case miracle happened and Chris Lemonis needs a statue record of 15-15 which would be 15-9 in our last 24. Realistically we need 13-17 or 14-16 overall record to feel like we have a chance. It is a razor thin margin and I do not believe it will happen. But I am a Mississippi State fan so I have found those razor thin margins for years. We have done it once, 2018.

Barring a freakish turnaround in just days, I don?t see us winning any agains USCe.

We just don?t have ?it?. ?It? can happen but I?ve seen nothing since last year that would show me it is possible.

[msugolf]

As unlikely as it may be, I think this is what has to happen for us to have any hope of making the postseason:

2 wins vs USC. This will be hard, but may be possible with Loftin in the rotation plus some guys having some good outings (Holcombe, KC, Nixon back, Cade?). The question is can the coaches figure out how to make reasonable pitching moves and can the infield play defense? Yet to be seen. We are due for a good series though.

Sweep Alabama. Not easy, but we will have to sweep somebody, and they?re probably our best shot left on the schedule.

Win 2/3 against Ole Miss. If we take care of USC and Bama as I?ve outlined, I actually like our chances of this because we will finally believe in ourselves. I also won?t be against our complete ownership of Ole Miss until that streak ends.

That gets us to 7-8. Then we have to go .500 the rest of the year which is a tall order in of itself. But hey, baseball is a weird sport. Could happen! Hail State.

Google maps is your best bet. They can tell you the path to all 16 locations?even if you decided to bike or walk to them.

[Leroy Jenkins]

[The Federalist Engineer]

Man, you beat me to this meme.

I will try to be faster when someone starts talking about "Hosting" a regional

[DownwardDawg]

Perfect. This team ain't going to the SEC tournament.

[starkvegasdawg]

I have to admire your optimism.

[StarkVegasSteve]

I have to admire your optimism.

It's the only thing you can have in these situations. We can be optimistic that a miracle could happen, but also optimistic to know that if things continue down this path then we'll have a new staff in 2024.

[R2Dawg]

As unlikely as it may be, I think this is what has to happen for us to have any hope of making the postseason:

2 wins vs USC. This will be hard, but may be possible with Loftin in the rotation plus some guys having some good outings (Holcombe, KC, Nixon back, Cade?). The question is can the coaches figure out how to make reasonable pitching moves and can the infield play defense? Yet to be seen. We are due for a good series though.

Sweep Alabama. Not easy, but we will have to sweep somebody, and they?re probably our best shot left on the schedule.

Win 2/3 against Ole Miss. If we take care of USC and Bama as I?ve outlined, I actually like our chances of this because we will finally believe in ourselves. I also won?t be against our complete ownership of Ole Miss until that streak ends.

That gets us to 7-8. Then we have to go .500 the rest of the year which is a tall order in of itself. But hey, baseball is a weird sport. Could happen! Hail State.

Whew, that lot of ifs but I admire your optimism.

We should be maybe 3-3 to be in mix for regional after 6 SEC games so we are 3 in hole. That ain't that bad but how we are 0-6 is what knocks our legs from under us. Losing Cade, KC, Pico and Nixion were big losses early when we had a young inexperienced group but still no excuse.

[Lord McBuckethead]

Might as well say, win every game we play. About as likely as getting one win this weekend.

[basedog]

I hate to say but it's iffy we break the streak this weekend. I'd also wager all my vCash we want sweep anyone and I'd say the odds are against winning a series. I sure hope I'm wrong.

[StarkVegasSteve]

I hate to say but it's iffy we break the streak this weekend. I'd also wager all my vCash we want sweep anyone and I'd say the odds are against winning a series. I sure hope I'm wrong.

Yea like I said, I don't see. But if you're going to do it, then that's the path.

[Homedawg]

I hate to say but it's iffy we break the streak this weekend. I'd also wager all my vCash we want sweep anyone and I'd say the odds are against winning a series. I sure hope I'm wrong.

I'll agree we won't sweep a sole. But we will win a series. But this team isn't making post season unless something happens real good real fast. Just no positive mojo to righten the ship.

[The Federalist Engineer]

I hate to say but it's iffy we break the streak this weekend. I'd also wager all my vCash we want sweep anyone and I'd say the odds are against winning a series. I sure hope I'm wrong.

I think MSU wins a game this weekend, maybe two.

The gamecocks have a better record than they are really playing. They have 3 one-run-game wins in the SEC. Sure, they deserved to win. But Vandy is a machine compared to South Carolina.

Not saying MSU will dominate and win. Just think MSU can win a game and SC will not scare the Bulldogs this week.

Hunt looks better, Nixon is back, Cijnije has two SEC starts, Holcombe won't get a Mound visit, Gartman is now a one-cycle-picter, Yntema experiment is over, Dohm back to the pen, the freshmen have collegiate experience to work with.

If Lemons and Foxy don't throw Yntema, Stinnett, Hardin, or Davis, that's 10 to 16 runs that South Carolina won't score.

Also, you have Hujsak starting now, Mershon gives MSU an extra quality AB when he PH for Foysthe, Hines is swatting, Clark is hitting, and Highfill is due 8 cheap hits for the bad luck last week. Maybe Dakota Jordan is settled and learned something from Goat. Bryce Chance is getting better and better too.

[Todd4State]

I think MSU wins a game this weekend, maybe two.

The gamecocks have a better record than they are really playing. They have 3 one-run-game wins in the SEC. Sure, they deserved to win. But Vandy is a machine compared to South Carolina.

Not saying MSU will dominate and win. Just think MSU can win a game and SC will not scare the Bulldogs this week.

Hunt looks better, Nixon is back, Cijnije has two SEC starts, Holcombe won't get a Mound visit, Gartman is now a one-cycle-picter, Yntema experiment is over, Dohm back to the pen, the freshmen have collegiate experience to work with.

If Lemons and Foxy don't throw Yntema, Stinnett, Hardin, or Davis, that's 10 to 16 runs that South Carolina won't score.

Also, you have Hujsak starting now, Mershon gives MSU an extra quality AB when he PH for Foysthe, Hines is swatting, Clark is hitting, and Highfill is due 8 cheap hits for the bad luck last week. Maybe Dakota Jordan is settled and learned something from Goat. Bryce Chance is getting better and better too.

Managing the staff better needs to happen.

We assume Loftin is starting- and he may. But he also might pitch in relief. We're a better team with Dohm in the bullpen.

We need to start Loo, Loftin, and Holcombe.

Dohm, Gartman, Hunt, and Nixon need to be our main relief guys.

If we get Cade Smith back we can move Holcombe back to the bullpen.

[The Federalist Engineer]

Managing the staff better needs to happen.

We assume Loftin is starting- and he may. But he also might pitch in relief. We're a better team with Dohm in the bullpen.

We need to start Loo, Loftin, and Holcombe.

Dohm, Gartman, Hunt, and Nixon need to be our main relief guys.

If we get Cade Smith back we can move Holcombe back to the bullpen.

Doing smart things can possibly get MSU to double digit wins in the SEC. Then MSU can avoid a scandalously bad SEC record and the AD can strike like lightning with a new staff in May and keep the 2024 recruiting in decent shape.

[State82]

Pretty sure this thread was meant to be titled "Path to Hoover". Which is also pretty laughable.

[bulldawg989]

As unlikely as it may be, I think this is what has to happen for us to have any hope of making the postseason:

2 wins vs USC. This will be hard, but may be possible with Loftin in the rotation plus some guys having some good outings (Holcombe, KC, Nixon back, Cade?). The question is can the coaches figure out how to make reasonable pitching moves and can the infield play defense? Yet to be seen. We are due for a good series though.

Sweep Alabama. Not easy, but we will have to sweep somebody, and they?re probably our best shot left on the schedule.

Win 2/3 against Ole Miss. If we take care of USC and Bama as I?ve outlined, I actually like our chances of this because we will finally believe in ourselves. I also won?t be against our complete ownership of Ole Miss until that streak ends.

That gets us to 7-8. Then we have to go .500 the rest of the year which is a tall order in of itself. But hey, baseball is a weird sport. Could happen! Hail State.

Yeah I started off admiring your wildly unfounded optimism but have since realized that your delusion should be met with pity. I get it, I used to believe in Santa Clause...

[GolfDawg]

Yeah I started off admiring your wildly unfounded optimism but have since realized that your delusion should be met with pity. I get it, I used to believe in Santa Clause...

I never said I thought it would have, actually said I thought it was very unlikely. I was just laying out what needed to happen.