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Lunardi Update
His update around 5:30 continues to have us as the first team not getting a bye and being in the first team in the play in game.
I really feel like a win vs Florida and we are in very very good shape. Would require a lot of chaos behind us to knock us out.
The bubble just isn't very strong right now. We haven't lost any bad games recently, but we have missed opportunities to solidify our position. I think winning either @Missouri or @Vandy would have locked us in.
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Beat Florida and we are in. Our tourney loss would be to Bama, so that would not hurt.
Lose to Florida and I give us a 40% chance of making it.
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Just have to take care of business Thursday
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Originally Posted by
somebodyshotmypaw
Beat Florida and we are in. Our tourney loss would be to Bama, so that would not hurt.
Lose to Florida and I give us a 40% chance of making it.
Lose to Fla and we are out. You aren't factoring in other teams winning and conference upsets. We have to beat Fla to have any shot!! And still not a given
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Originally Posted by
somebodyshotmypaw
Lose to Florida and I give us a 40% chance of making it.
I would drop that percentage by, oh probably 40% or so if we lose.
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Yeah if we lose to Florida again, 0% chance
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Originally Posted by
civildawg
Yeah if we lose to Florida again, 0% chance
And rightfully so. If we can't beat a barely .500 team on a neutral court with what we have at stake, then we don't deserve a bid.
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Originally Posted by
msudawg1200
And rightfully so. If we can't beat a barely .500 team on a neutral court with what we have at stake, then we don't deserve a bid.
Yea, I kind of got beat on yesterday for saying we really don't deserve a bid if we get beat by Florida but I'm not sure how else to feel if we finish 8-11 in the SEC. If we want the bid then we need to go take it this Thursday.
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I’m calling it, we bear Florida.
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Originally Posted by
basedog
I’m calling it, we bear Florida.
Yep, we are going to maul them. 😀
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Originally Posted by
maroonmania
Yep, we are going to maul them. 😀
We gonna win and go to dance.
Cam comes out with the fro and does damage.
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Charleston wins their conference tournament and Oral Roberts up huge in theirs.
That's good for us. That's two bubble teams winning their conference tournaments and securing auto bids.
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I am not ruling out that we get in even with a loss tomorrow. I think some are underestimating how little the committee has shown to care about conference tournaments in recent years. If we are in now, which most experts believe to be the case, then it stands to reason that barring a bunch of craziness in other tournaments, we still have a decent chance of getting in.
That being said, you feel a whole lot more comfortable about it if you beat Florida, so maybe let?s do that.
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Originally Posted by
Captain Falcon
I am not ruling out that we get in even with a loss tomorrow. I think some are underestimating how little the committee has shown to care about conference tournaments in recent years. If we are in now, which most experts believe to be the case, then it stands to reason that barring a bunch of craziness in other tournaments, we still have a decent chance of getting in.
That being said, you feel a whole lot more comfortable about it if you beat Florida, so maybe let?s do that.
I feel like the Committee has more or less always ignored conference tournament results. People point to conference tournament results to explain committee decisions, but when I paid attention, it seemed pretty clear they didn't put much, if any, stock in them.
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If we lose to FL, we will be 8 - 11 against our conference foes with 5 of the wins against OM, SC, and LSU. We need to win tomorrow.
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A win tomorrow will get us in.
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Member
We are just trying to improve our seeding in the SEC tourny. We are already in. One component we are not used to having on our bubble resume is 2 quad 1 wins out of conference. That is a big factor the committee looks at and the wins over Marquette and TCU put us over the hump this year. "Conference record" has zero bearing for the selection process. I just want to beat UF to stay off the play in game.
Halliday: I said to Leach, "What do I need to do to get the ball there on time?" He was like, "Well, just throw it to the guy who's f'ing open." I was like, "Yeah, no, I get that dude, but what do you want me to do to get it there quicker?" And he was like, "I don't give a f what you do. Just throw it to the guy who's f'ing open."
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I have mixed feelings on how the committee looks at conference tournaments. I feel like they don’t put much emphasis on it, but because we are legit right on the inside of the bubble, we have to beat Florida. I really think as long as we do that we make the play in game. What will be interesting is to see if a team like Wisconsin or Ok State were to make the conference tournament title game but lose how that will be treated. It certainly didn’t help aTm last year, so that would be messed up if they awarded it to other teams right now outside the bubble
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