-
Updated Severe Weather Outlook. Slight Risk Wednesday / Significant Outbreak for Thur
SPC has upgraded NW MS to a slight risk for severe weather Wednesday for a conditional low end event and maintaining a significant severe weather event possible late Thursday afternoon into Thursday night. As I was expecting, they did retract the threat back slightly westward for Thursday as it looks like the timing of the storm has slowed slightly. By the time the storms reach the golden triangle area the system will be weakening as the best dynamics start to pull away from the region. However, parts of western and central MS are still fully under the gun and the SPC is saying an upgrade to a moderate risk is likely with the threat for damaging winds and tornadoes (some strong) in the black hatched area. I would not be surprised if most of any mod risk is in parts of AR and LA and possibly extending into the delta region. Just have to see how it plays out.
-
So how do we follow this storm in Central MS with the Brandon radar down?
-
Originally Posted by
HaggardDawg
So how do we follow this storm in Central MS with the Brandon radar down?
They're expecting to have it back up and running. All of the components have been installed and they're just doing some final adjustments and functional tests. They had it up and running about 30 minutes last night.
-
You mean the Brandon radar that the brilliant engineers stuck a water tower up in front of…. Is that the radar you speak of, the one with a damn blind spot to the NNW?
-
Originally Posted by
SilentSteel16
You mean the Brandon radar that the brilliant engineers stuck a water tower up in front of?. Is that the radar you speak of, the one with a damn blind spot to the NNW?
That would be the one. It it's actually to the SW. Mayor said it would have little effect and just a few months later the rotation of a tornado literally followed the exact path of that radar hole.
-
Yeah I knew it was somewhere towards Yazoo. I think there was a civil suit or something against City of Brandon if I remember right.
-
Just curious, Vegas, but how do you Weather Cats define "severe" weather???
Flooding, Hail, High Winds, Naders, Hurricanes, Raining Frogs, a combination thereof?
Thanks for the effort you put into this....
"It is not courage to resist TUSK; It is courage to accept TUSK."
No.
Easy there buddy. Tusk is...well Tusk is Tusk. Tireddawg 12.20.17
-
Originally Posted by
TUSK
Just curious, Vegas, but how do you Weather Cats define "severe" weather???
Flooding, Hail, High Winds, Naders, Hurricanes, Raining Frogs, a combination thereof?
Thanks for the effort you put into this....
We use the NWS definition of a severe thunderstorm which is any storm producing at least one of the below:
Winds of 58mph or greater
Hail 1" in diameter or larger
Tornado
-
Bump.
This is the new thread.
-
Trends are becoming interesting. Storm system is slowing down which looks to put the worst over AR late Thursday afternoon. I had said earlier that it looked like east MS and west AL would miss the highest impacts. Well, maybe not. If it continues to slow down that would put it not hitting that area until Friday morning which could POSSIBLY give it time to reenergize. The low level jet is also starting to shift just slightly and no longer be perfectly parallel to the cold front. Additionally, a strong capping inversion looks to be in place ahead of the front. These factors will limit the amount of discrete supercells that form and reduce the tornado risk over MS. If I were or pick a spot in the state with the best shot at tornadoes I would say the central and northern delta.
-
-
Sitting at NOLA airport headed back to Nashville. How bad is the severe risk for the Nashville area??
I haven't found a good source up there like you guys. That's why I always ask here.
-
Originally Posted by
DownwardDawg
Sitting at NOLA airport headed back to Nashville. How bad is the severe risk for the Nashville area??
I haven't found a good source up there like you guys. That's why I always ask here.
Nashville is right at the edge of the slight risk for tonight. Overall, I doubt it gets too bad there.
North MS is starting to trend a little higher for severe weather tonight, though. Especially the NW delta. The HRRR is showing a capping inversion just above the surface over east MS and that will help suppress storms here for night, but if any storms can break the cap they could easily go severe.
-
Originally Posted by
starkvegasdawg
Nashville is right at the edge of the slight risk for tonight. Overall, I doubt it gets too bad there.
North MS is starting to trend a little higher for severe weather tonight, though. Especially the NW delta. The HRRR is showing a capping inversion just above the surface over east MS and that will help suppress storms here for night, but if any storms can break the cap they could easily go severe.
Thanks man!!
-
Originally Posted by
SilentSteel16
You mean the Brandon radar that the brilliant engineers stuck a water tower up in front of…. Is that the radar you speak of, the one with a damn blind spot to the NNW?
Those brilliant engineers did so because politics and stupidity usually win out. The City of Brandon was informed by knowledgeable people that it was going to be an issue and affect the Jax KDGX Radar beam to the SW of the radar site.
Last edited by yjnkdawg; 03-01-2023 at 05:23 PM.
-
Senior Member
Got to head to Jackson early am tomorrow from Stark and then headed back to stark probably around midafternoon. What does that look like for me?
-
Member
Originally Posted by
starkvegasdawg
Nashville is right at the edge of the slight risk for tonight. Overall, I doubt it gets too bad there.
North MS is starting to trend a little higher for severe weather tonight, though. Especially the NW delta. The HRRR is showing a capping inversion just above the surface over east MS and that will help suppress storms here for night, but if any storms can break the cap they could easily go severe.
What?s the timing look like for North Ms, Southaven area?
-
Originally Posted by
jgunn
What?s the timing look like for North Ms, Southaven area?
Today? Right now.
Tomorrow? Probably midnight or later.
-
Originally Posted by
Roy Munson
Got to head to Jackson early am tomorrow from Stark and then headed back to stark probably around midafternoon. What does that look like for me?
You should be fine. Timing for MS tomorrow looks well after dark.
-
Senior Member
Posting Permissions
- You may not post new threads
- You may not post replies
- You may not post attachments
- You may not edit your posts
-
Forum Rules
Disclaimer: Elitedawgs is a privately owned and operated forum that is managed by alumni of Mississippi State University. This website is in no way affiliated with the Mississippi State University, The Southeastern Conference (SEC) or the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA). The views and opinions expressed herein are strictly those of the post author and may not reflect the views of other members of this forum or elitedawgs.com. The interactive nature of the elitedawgs.com forums makes it impossible for elitedawgs.com to assume responsibility for any of the content posted at this site. Ideas, thoughts, suggestion, comments, opinions, advice and observations made by participants at elitedawgs.com are not endorsed by elitedawgs.com
Elitedawgs: A Mississippi State Fan Forum, Mississippi State Football, Mississippi State Basketball, Mississippi State Baseball, Mississippi State Athletics. Mississippi State message board.