Bubble Watch

[Ifyouonlyknew]

Win both this week & we’re in. That’s the long & short of it. Win 1 (SC) & we’re in going into the SEC tourney but a win or 2 would make us feel better.

[Cowbell]

Win both this week & we?re in. That?s the long & short of it. Win 1 (SC) & we?re in going into the SEC tourney but a win or 2 would make us feel better.

Well if it ain't the prodigal son***

[Quaoarsking]

No one on Selection Sunday thought we had any chance to get in in 2012 or 2018. We were a 4 seed in the NIT both years, not even close to a bid.

2010, though, yeah that sucked. A lot of bracketologists had us in.

[chef dixon]

Our resume is solidly stronger than almost all other teams being mentioned on the cut line. If we win both of the last two games we are going to be a 7 or 8 seed

[Ifyouonlyknew]

Our resume is solidly stronger than almost all other teams being mentioned on the cut line. If we win both of the last two games we are going to be a 7 or 8 seed

Naw we’re not getting that high. Win both & we’re a solid 10 maybe 9 seed. Win a couple in the SEC Tourney on top of that then we maybe could make it to 8 line.

[StarkVegasSteve]

Naw we’re not getting that high. Win both & we’re a solid 10 maybe 9 seed. Win a couple in the SEC Tourney on top of that then we maybe could make it to 8 line.

I'd prefer to stay a 10 seed. There's not much difference between 7,8,9, and 10 seeds but there's a ton of difference between 1 and 2 seeds. You want to avoid a 1 seed as long as possible in the Tournament.

[Ifyouonlyknew]

I'd prefer to stay a 10 seed. There's not much difference between 7,8,9, and 10 seeds but there's a ton of difference between 1 and 2 seeds. You want to avoid a 1 seed as long as possible in the Tournament.

I agree

[smootness]

I'd prefer to stay a 10 seed. There's not much difference between 7,8,9, and 10 seeds but there's a ton of difference between 1 and 2 seeds. You want to avoid a 1 seed as long as possible in the Tournament.

Interestingly, in the modern era, while they are less likely to win the first game, 11 seeds have made the Sweet 16, Elite 8, and Final 4 more often than 10, 9, and 8 seeds. 10s have also made each of those rounds more than 9s or 8s.

[msudawg1200]

I'd don't disagree. But, I bet if you comb the message board archives though, our fans were making a lot of the same "Win and we are 100% in" type comments (which is what my post was really about).
Bracketology and NET has made this a lot easier to project then the old days. But, as long as humans are making the selections there is always the chance for the snub.

Yeah, and we didn't win in those years. We crapped our pants down the stretch, especially in 2012. We went from safely in and about a 6 seed to losing 6 of 8 to finish the season and losing to an absolute crap Georgia team twice in that stretch one being at home. The only time we came close to getting screwed was 2010 when we made it to the SECTCG and lost to Kentucky on the John Wall lane violation. I thought that got us in. Every other year you mentioned we either were undeserving, shite the bed, or both. If we win both games this week WE ARE IN. Period. End of story. Lose to Vandy and it gets dicey. Lose to SCar and start buying NIT tickets.

[Commercecomet24]

I agree

Dude where you been?

[Ifyouonlyknew]

Dude where you been?

I’ve been around

[Commercecomet24]

I’ve been around

Haven't seen you on here in ages. Miss your posts.

[LC Dawg]

Interestingly, in the modern era, while they are less likely to win the first game, 11 seeds have made the Sweet 16, Elite 8, and Final 4 more often than 10, 9, and 8 seeds. 10s have also made each of those rounds more than 9s or 8s.

I'd love to be an 11 seed. As I said in another thread we've got to upset someone in the 1st round and no 6 seed wants to play us and we'll scare the hell out of any 3 seed.

[StarkVegasSteve]

I'd love to be an 11 seed. As I said in another thread we've got to upset someone in the 1st round and no 6 seed wants to play us and we'll scare the hell out of any 3 seed.

The only reason I don't want to be an 11, which I'd honestly prefer, is because I feel like if we're an 11 we're gonna be in the play in. If we can be an 11 and miss the play in then give that to me all day. Not much difference in playing a 6 or 7, but it would be a sizable difference in playing a Texas or an Arizona over maybe getting Marquette once again or the most beatable Gonzaga team in the last 10 years. As I said earlier, avoid the 1 as long as possible.

Our luck we'll get hot at the right for the second time this century and end up as an 8 or 9 and have to play Houston in the second round.

[RLM38654]

After West Virginia win at Iowa State, MSU moves back to the last 4 in. Big win or not still think State should ahead of West Virginia and also Nevada who lost to slaw az Wyoming. State is going to have win tonight and cover the spread to remain #39. The NET is based off of that. Other bubble teams, tonight.

Tonight KenPom Projections
Clemson @ Virginia L, 69-63 64 30% Away
Texas Tech @ Kansas L, 78-68 70 17% Away
San Diego State @ Boise W, 67-66 67 55% Home

[Ezsoil]

I'd say Auburn is the team that should be worried ....I can see them losing out and being part of a SECT seeding logjam at 9-9

[msstate7]

[StarkVegasSteve]

Memphis is the one team I do not get how they are safe. They have two Q1 wins and four Q2. They even have TWO Q3 losses. How the hell do the metrics favor them?

[sleepy dawg]

Memphis is the one team I do not get how they are safe. They have two Q1 wins and four Q2. They even have TWO Q3 losses. How the hell do the metrics favor them?

They're 2-3 in Q1 and 7-3 in Q2. They have 1 Q3 loss and 0 Q4 losses. Perhaps you're looking at RPI or something other than the latest NET?

[StarkVegasSteve]

They're 2-3 in Q1 and 7-3 in Q2. They have 1 Q3 loss and 0 Q4 losses. Perhaps you're looking at RPI or something other than the latest NET?

You are right. I was looking at it on my phone and it was formatted differently.