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Severe Threat Wednesday
Main threat looks to be damaging wind gusts, but a few tornadoes will be possible. Storm mode looks to linear and bowing segments, but a few warm sector discrete supercells will be possible and they will contain your biggest tornado threat. Timing will be afternoon into the evening and overnight hours. Overall, this isn't looking like an especially high end event, but if your house is in the area that gets impacted then it's high end enough.
Last edited by starkvegasdawg; 02-08-2023 at 10:08 AM.
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Will be in Jackson Wed- wed night. Just storms or tornadoes as well?
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Originally Posted by
Homedawg
Will be in Jackson Wed- wed night. Just storms or tornadoes as well?
There will be a chance for a few tornadoes. Especially along the I-20 corridor. There will be good wind shear and looking like enough instability to sustain rotating thunderstorms. Biggest question is if there will be storm initiation ahead of the squall line in the warm sector. If that happens then the tornado risk will be at least slightly increased. Still not looking like a major event, but some severe weather is expected. If I had to draw out my highest risk area it would go from the Eudora, AR, to Yazoo City, to Jackson, down to Brookhaven, and then back to Natchez.
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Originally Posted by
starkvegasdawg
There will be a chance for a few tornadoes. Especially along the I-20 corridor. There will be good wind shear and looking like enough instability to sustain rotating thunderstorms. Biggest question is if there will be storm initiation ahead of the squall line in the warm sector. If that happens then the tornado risk will be at least slightly increased. Still not looking like a major event, but some severe weather is expected. If I had to draw out my highest risk area it would go from the Eudora, AR, to Yazoo City, to Jackson, down to Brookhaven, and then back to Natchez.
Thanks for info
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Yo, once that big yellow blob leaves Louisiana and crosses the landmass, what's it look like for Trailerville, AL?
"It is not courage to resist TUSK; It is courage to accept TUSK."
No.
Easy there buddy. Tusk is...well Tusk is Tusk. Tireddawg 12.20.17
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Originally Posted by
TUSK
Yo, once that big yellow blob leaves Louisiana and crosses the landmass, what's it look like for Trailerville, AL?
This was an epic question. I can't rep you enough.
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Originally Posted by
DownwardDawg
This was an epic question. I can't rep you enough.
Trailerville Alabama is a huge territory can you please be more specific. And no you cannot include Mississippi counties that are on the state line.
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Originally Posted by
Homedawg
Will be in Jackson Wed- wed night. Just storms or tornadoes as well?
Storms and tornados are the least of your concerns in Jxn.
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Originally Posted by
TUSK
Yo, once that big yellow blob leaves Louisiana and crosses the landmass, what's it look like for Trailerville, AL?
LANDMASS!!! Them?s fightin werds, just how big a boy ar ya
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Originally Posted by
TUSK
Yo, once that big yellow blob leaves Louisiana and crosses the landmass, what's it look like for Trailerville, AL?
Your weed and shine operations should be safe. The storms should start weakening as they approach the AL state line. In fact I'm expecting them to start losing some punch by the I-55 corridor.
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Originally Posted by
Rick Danko
LANDMASS!!! Them?s fightin werds, just how big a boy ar ya
Meet me at Sonic.
"It is not courage to resist TUSK; It is courage to accept TUSK."
No.
Easy there buddy. Tusk is...well Tusk is Tusk. Tireddawg 12.20.17
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Originally Posted by
TUSK
Meet me at Sonic.
You must mean the Dew Drop Inn
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Originally Posted by
parabrave
You must mean the Dew Drop Inn
He really meant the Dollar General, the one by the Alexander Shunnarah sign.
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Originally Posted by
Liverpooldawg
He really meant the Dollar General, the one by the Alexander Shunnarah sign.
Have some rep!
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Originally Posted by
parabrave
You must mean the Dew Drop Inn
Hey! Dew drop goes hard! Once you pick that chili burger up you ant puttin it back down.
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Upgrade to an enhanced risk. Graphic updated.
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Originally Posted by
starkvegasdawg
Upgrade to an enhanced risk. Graphic updated.
So, what exactly is happening here with this system? Specifically in southeast Louisiana and South MS. The squall line comes through tonight, the rain lingers on through Friday, then the cold temperatures move in Saturday. Is this a cold front, 2 cold fronts, something else?
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Originally Posted by
Maverick91
Hey! Dew drop goes hard! Once you pick that chili burger up you ant puttin it back down.
Just watch out for babes with green teeth!
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Originally Posted by
PMDawg
So, what exactly is happening here with this system? Specifically in southeast Louisiana and South MS. The squall line comes through tonight, the rain lingers on through Friday, then the cold temperatures move in Saturday. Is this a cold front, 2 cold fronts, something else?
The squall line will be just ahead of the main front. Once it passes the severe threat is over. The rain right after that is anafrontal rain where the cooler drier air is wringing out what's left of the moisture. Any rain lingering into Friday will be a different wave moving through and then another front is pushing through this weekend to cool things off more substantially.
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Member
Seems like a lot of warming to agitate things, how?s the parameters for supercells looking now?
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