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Thread: Ian

  1. #1
    Senior Member biscuit's Avatar
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    Ian

    How bad is this gonna get? I look to SVD and others to keep me updated.
    Wrap it in Maroon and White

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    Bad.

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    Senior Member starkvegasdawg's Avatar
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    It's up to 120mph now. Going to make a run at cat 4 which is 130. It needs to shift just east to put Tampa on the westside of the center. A track where Tampa is just east would be a storm surge disaster.

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    They have the same problem as in 2004. Even if it misses Tampa it's still gonna go through Mobile home Park Heaven.

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    Senior Member BrunswickDawg's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg View Post
    It's up to 120mph now. Going to make a run at cat 4 which is 130. It needs to shift just east to put Tampa on the westside of the center. A track where Tampa is just east would be a storm surge disaster.
    11AM report shows it having moved well east of yesterday - but still shows it making a bee-line up the inland side of the coast toward my neck of the woods in SE GA. My experience and the front coming thru makes me thing it will keep moving east then shoot up the coast but over over water. What do you think?
    "After dealing with Ole Miss for over a year," he said, "I've learned to expect their leadership to do and say things that the leadership at other Division I schools would never consider doing and to justify their actions by reminding themselves that "We're Ole Miss.""
    - Tom Mars, Esq. 4.9.18

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    Quote Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg View Post
    It's up to 120mph now. Going to make a run at cat 4 which is 130. It needs to shift just east to put Tampa on the westside of the center. A track where Tampa is just east would be a storm surge disaster.
    The current one puts Ft. Myers, Cape Coral, Sanibel and the other islands, Pt. Charlotte, Punta Gorda, etc in THEIR storm surge disaster zone.

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    Senior Member starkvegasdawg's Avatar
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    Are some concerns or moves further east. The cold front that is giving us our great weather is interacting with Ian. As of the last update wind and pressure held constant, but don't be surprised if it ends up a 4. Saw one met/chaser saying don't take 5 off the table but I have my doubts.

    I'm cranky now. Had I gone and chased Ian I would have landed a Canadian national news interview. They interviewed me a few years ago when I was down for Sally and evidently kept my name on file. Dammit.

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    Senior Member starkvegasdawg's Avatar
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    It looks like it might be going through an eye wall replacement cycle. If so, that could explain it not getting stronger last couple of hours. But once it completes it then it should start intensifying again.

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    Should I be concerned about my Orange Beach plans this weekend?

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    Quote Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg View Post
    Are some concerns or moves further east. The cold front that is giving us our great weather is interacting with Ian. As of the last update wind and pressure held constant, but don't be surprised if it ends up a 4. Saw one met/chaser saying don't take 5 off the table but I have my doubts.

    I'm cranky now. Had I gone and chased Ian I would have landed a Canadian national news interview. They interviewed me a few years ago when I was down for Sally and evidently kept my name on file. Dammit.
    I am not chasing, but you can sure as hell take my place down there. i have this bad feeling i am going to be assessing damaging on 200,000 trailers. i haven't received my orders yet but i think Friday i will be heading there.

  11. #11
    Senior Member starkvegasdawg's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by dawgman15 View Post
    Should I be concerned about my Orange Beach plans this weekend?
    Not at all. Enjoy.

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    Quote Originally Posted by dawgman15 View Post
    Should I be concerned about my Orange Beach plans this weekend?
    Bring a sweater.

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    Drove from the MS Gulf Coast to Jackson today. I must have passed at least 300 electric utility trucks headed south.

  14. #14
    Senior Member starkvegasdawg's Avatar
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    Latest update and pressure dropped 5mb in the last hour. Eye wall replacement cycle looks almost complete. I expect to see the winds increasing in the next 1-2 hours.

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    Senior Member DownwardDawg's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ranchdawg View Post
    Drove from the MS Gulf Coast to Jackson today. I must have passed at least 300 electric utility trucks headed south.
    I saw a bunch headed south on I-65 through Tennessee Sunday.

  16. #16
    Senior Member Commercecomet24's Avatar
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    This thing looks ugly. I'm afraid it's gonna wreak havoc in Florida

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    Those of us who live in the Tampa Bay Area appreciate prayers. Also I personally appreciate all the great weather information provided by members of this group. You are appreciated even in Tampa.

  18. #18
    Senior Member DownwardDawg's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Commercecomet24 View Post
    This thing looks ugly. I'm afraid it's gonna wreak havoc in Florida
    Yeah. Just sitting here in hotel room in NOLA watching weather channel. It doesn't look good.

  19. #19
    Senior Member starkvegasdawg's Avatar
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    It's still having trouble closing the eye wall back off. It's very close but the eye is much larger than before. When the eye starts getting very compact with a lot of convection in the eye wall that's a good sign it's intensifying. Good news is the longer it takes to do this the less time it has to strengthen.

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    Quote Originally Posted by 99jc View Post
    I am not chasing, but you can sure as hell take my place down there. i have this bad feeling i am going to be assessing damaging on 200,000 trailers. i haven't received my orders yet but i think Friday i will be heading there.
    Be safe. Prayers sent for all. Hail State!

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