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Thread: Next weather system to monitor

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    Senior Member starkvegasdawg's Avatar
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    Next weather system to monitor

    Almost posted this last night but held off. There is a dying cold front in the area and an area of low pressure is expected to form in the northern Gulf by mid week. By this weekend there is a chance this could end up as a tropical depression. This would have the threats for the MS and AL coasts limited to very heavy rain and rip currents. Some of the models showing very high rainfall totals so a trip to the beach this weekend may be a bit damp if this materializes.

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    Senior Member Maroonthirteen's Avatar
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    Well.... I leave for the pan handle this morning. Reluctantly. Feels like that time I went to Oregon to find out the QB was not playing.
    Last edited by Maroonthirteen; 07-11-2022 at 06:08 AM.

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    Senior Member starkvegasdawg's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Maroonthirteen View Post
    Well.... I leave for the pan handle this morning. Reluctantly. Feels like that time I went to Oregon to find out the QB was not playing.
    Latest info trying to take more into LA now.

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    Senior Member TheLostDawg's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Maroonthirteen View Post
    Well.... I leave for the pan handle this morning. Reluctantly. Feels like that time I went to Oregon to find out the QB was not playing.
    +

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    will we get much rain in Jxn? If so, about when to expect it?

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    Senior Member shoeless joe's Avatar
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    Headed to the Fla panhandle Saturday for a week. Hopefully this will get on out and won?t affect us too much.

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    LOL

    Quote Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg View Post
    Latest info trying to take more into LA now.
    I?m going to be in Louisiana this weekend.
    It figures.

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    Senior Member starkvegasdawg's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by viverlibre View Post
    will we get much rain in Jxn? If so, about when to expect it?
    Right now not looking for much. This is going to be right along the coast for the most part. Once you start getting north of Hattiesburg then the totals start tapering off.

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    Senior Member starkvegasdawg's Avatar
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    Latest run of the gfs has significantly backed off the rainfall totals for this system. It's now only showing 2-4" for the coast instead of the 8-14 from earlier today. Have to see if this becomes a trend but potential good news for any vacationers.

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    Forecasting 10 inches of rain on the Coast. 12 inches in SELA.

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    Senior Member starkvegasdawg's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by parabrave View Post
    Forecasting 10 inches of rain on the Coast. 12 inches in SELA.
    Latest gfs has slashed that. New euro doesn't come for another couple of hours. Hope to be asleep by then.

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    Quote Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg View Post
    Latest gfs has slashed that. New euro doesn't come for another couple of hours. Hope to be asleep by then.
    Hope so. Roof needs repairing. NWS still forecasting 8-10 vut they will update around 0200.

    https://www.weather.gov/images/lix/g...40af2b7f97e048
    Last edited by parabrave; 07-12-2022 at 12:19 AM.

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    Senior Member starkvegasdawg's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by parabrave View Post
    Hope so. Roof needs repairing. NWS still forecasting 8-10 vut they will update around 0200.

    https://www.weather.gov/images/lix/g...40af2b7f97e048
    They made that graphic before this latest GFS came in. But that said, they have access to stuff I don't readily have. All I can do is look at the latest model run of one model which does not constitute a forecast. The 00Z NAM is still bringing in heavy rainfall totals as is the UKMET. The Canadian is light on precip so still a lot of uncertainty.

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    TheDynastyIsDead TUSK's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg View Post
    Almost posted this last night but held off. There is a dying cold front in the area and an area of low pressure is expected to form in the northern Gulf by mid week. By this weekend there is a chance this could end up as a tropical depression. This would have the threats for the MS and AL coasts limited to very heavy rain and rip currents. Some of the models showing very high rainfall totals so a trip to the beach this weekend may be a bit damp if this materializes.
    you've been PMed....
    "It is not courage to resist TUSK; It is courage to accept TUSK."

    No.


    Easy there buddy. Tusk is...well Tusk is Tusk. Tireddawg 12.20.17

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    Quote Originally Posted by TUSK View Post
    you've been PMed....
    TUSK needs to know if the humidity level will be ok for his next batch and his budding crop won't wash away.

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    Any update?

    Quote Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg View Post
    They made that graphic before this latest GFS came in. But that said, they have access to stuff I don't readily have. All I can do is look at the latest model run of one model which does not constitute a forecast. The 00Z NAM is still bringing in heavy rainfall totals as is the UKMET. The Canadian is light on precip so still a lot of uncertainty.
    I'm supposed to ne in NOLA Thursday through Sunday. TIA.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Noxdog View Post
    I'm supposed to ne in NOLA Thursday through Sunday. TIA.
    Learn about parking on the Neutral grounds(Medians).

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    Quote Originally Posted by parabrave View Post
    Forecasting 10 inches of rain on the Coast. 12 inches in SELA.
    SELA = South East Lower Alabama?

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    Senior Member starkvegasdawg's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Noxdog View Post
    I'm supposed to ne in NOLA Thursday through Sunday. TIA.
    I'd pack a raincoat. The chances of it becoming a tropical system are dropping, but it will still be capable of dropping a lot of rain. I'm going to say 3-6" is going to be pretty commonplace.

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    Senior Member DownwardDawg's Avatar
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    Sitting in a hotel in NOLA now. Barely overcast right now, but helicopter flights offshore have been delayed all day. I'll probably have to sit at the heliport all day tomorrow. Yay.

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