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Originally Posted by
parabrave
strong Cat 1.
I'm no weather expert, but I've been tracking hurricanes since around 2004. I know enough to know that this thing will, at some point, be stronger than CAT I. The only way that doesn't happen is if it gets torn to shreds crossing the mountains west of Havana and then moves fast enough that it doesn't have time to develop. The water temperatures are high, there's no shear, and it should spend a large amount of time over the eddy current loop currently in the GOM. All of the ingredients for rapid intensification are there. We'll have to get extremely lucky to thread the needle that doesn't lead to RI.
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