After 21 games, the SEC teams break down into 3 tiers:
  • The top 6 are contending for the SEC crown. We have the easiest remaining schedule (by W/L record at least). We'll have to gain a game on Arkansas to get a tie, without letting another team gain on us, and Arkansas has a significantly harder schedule than us. If Arkansas loses games to Tennessee or Florida, that helps us, but it would also help teams competing with us for the title.
  • There's also a middle tier of teams fighting for an NCAA bid. All 4 of them have at least 2 series left against teams in the top tier, so they'll have the chance to clinch a bid with some good wins, or they could find themselves out of the mix.
  • On the bottom tier, I wouldn't count out LSU yet. Their RPI is good enough that going 6-3 to get to 13-17 probably gets them in. Auburn has a very weak schedule and could actually get themselves onto the bubble with a strong finish.